Geopolitics Alpha

U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: TLT, IEF, TIP, UUP, VGK
  • Market reaction: TLT −1.5% on the day; IEF −0.7% on the day; FXE −0.9% on the day

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHAU.S. inflation reinforces ratehike expectations, putting renewedpressure on the euro against the…GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about US interest rates and inflation and prices.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

    Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund: it tracks currencies. Linked by “the dollar” (currencies) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“euro”).

  • FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust

    Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust follows the euro, whose moves this story covers.

  • BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF

    SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Europe

  • EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF

    iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Europe

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT+1.21%+1.27%base-1.49%after closeafter closeafter close
IEF+1.16%+0.95%base-0.70%after closeafter closeafter close
TIP+0.93%+0.72%base-0.46%after closeafter closeafter close
UUP-1.46%-1.31%base+0.20%after closeafter closeafter close
VGK-1.21%+0.58%base-0.61%after closeafter closeafter close
FXE+0.49%+0.49%base-0.91%after closeafter closeafter close
BWX+1.13%+1.50%base-0.63%after closeafter closeafter close
EFA-1.86%+0.32%base-0.61%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar Moomoo

Source: Moomoo

How far Ishares Tr (TLT) has moved since 12 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)that day-0.63%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)three days earlier+1.50%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)five days earlier+1.13%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)that day-0.61%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)three days earlier+0.32%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)five days earlier-1.86%final price
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE)that day-0.91%final price
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE)three days earlier+0.49%final price
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE)five days earlier+0.49%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)that day-0.70%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier+0.95%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier+1.16%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)that day-0.46%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.72%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.93%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day-1.49%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier+1.27%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier+1.21%final price
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP)that day+0.20%final price
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP)three days earlier-1.31%final price
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP)five days earlier-1.46%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)that day-0.61%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)three days earlier+0.58%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)five days earlier-1.21%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies carried with this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    For “U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    In “U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar.” Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

    For “U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar,” Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund: it tracks currencies. Linked by “the dollar” (currencies) in this story

  • VGK Vanguard Intl Equity Index F

    Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar.” Reason on file: Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“euro”)

  • FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust

    Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar.” Reason on file: Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust follows the euro, whose moves this story covers

  • BWX Spdr Series Trust

    In “U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar,” Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Europe

  • EFA Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (EFA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Europe

Ishares Tr (TLT)

The 12 Nov 2026 story “U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar” names Ishares Tr (TLT) because of this story.

For Ishares Tr (TLT), the reason on file says iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

A second company, Ishares Tr (IEF), is listed for a different reason: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (TLT)

IEF traded between 88.64 and 90.69 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.

A simple score for Ishares Tr (TLT)

46 out of 100

“U.S. inflation reinforces rate hike expectations, putting renewed pressure on the euro against the dollar” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.