Geopolitics Alpha

U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: ITA, XAR, USO, BWET, XOM
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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DEFENSEU.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm,Iran War NervesGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about defense and oil.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-4.4% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+6.2% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+12.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+4.8% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell-2.5% 12d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA-4.02%-3.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XAR-3.84%-2.83%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO+5.38%+6.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET+7.18%+11.56%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+2.57%+5.49%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+1.76%+4.58%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP+3.21%+6.66%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SHEL+0.85%+4.31%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves WSJ

Source: The Wall Street Journal

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) compared with industrial stocks (XLI) since 3 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+11.56%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+7.18%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+6.66%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+3.21%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+4.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+1.76%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-3.08%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-4.02%final price
Shell (SHEL)three days earlier+4.31%final price
Shell (SHEL)five days earlier+0.85%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)three days earlier-2.83%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)five days earlier-3.84%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+5.49%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+2.57%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who is named in “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves”

Companies carried with this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    For “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    For “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

How “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves” reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

The 3 Nov 2026 story “U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves” names IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) because of Defense.

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is on the page because iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

What this defense story puts on the calendar

ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 214.70. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.89. XAR traded between 210.89 and 237.55 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 231.04.

How solid the defense case looks

46 out of 100

“U.S. Stocks Mixed Amid Midterm, Iran War Nerves” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.