Geopolitics Alpha

UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels

Published . Updated .

ENERGYUBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End asGulf Flows Stay Below PrewarLevelsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+4.8% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.5% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+38.2% 18d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “brent” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+0.2% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “brent” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “brent” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+9.0% 13d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story.

  • INSW International Seaways+1.3% 8d

    International Seaways (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “brent” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+7.9% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-2.37%+3.62%base+1.87%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.12%+1.60%base+0.34%after closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
FRONo price data for this ticker———————
DHTNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.00%+1.85%base+1.22%after closeafter closeafter close
INSWNo price data for this ticker———————
CVX-0.66%+2.17%base+0.45%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

Source: Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Chevron (CVX)that day+0.45%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+2.17%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-0.66%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+1.87%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+3.62%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-2.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+0.34%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+1.60%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.12%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day+1.22%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.85%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.00%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “brent” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    For “UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story

  • FRO Frontline

    For “UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels,” Frontline (FRO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “brent” (tanker shipping) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels” (28 Oct 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “brent” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 894.54. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 163.62. XLE traded between 61.05 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.23.

How solid the energy case looks

54 out of 100

“UBS Sees $110 Brent by Year-End as Gulf Flows Stay Below Prewar Levels” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies.