UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts
Published . Updated .
Covered by 5 outlets: WKZO, The Mighty 790 KFGO, Bradenton Herald, Tacoma News Tribune, Reuters.
Who covered it: Center 1 · Not rated 4. How we rate outlets
Key takeaways
- LONDON, Nov 11 (Reuters) - The Bank of England will not succeed in returning inflation to target before 2030, driven by second-round effects on wages caused by the Iran war, according to forecasts from a leading academic think-tank which also nudged ...
- Exposed: EWU, BWX, EFA, HSBC, LIN
- Market reaction: EWU −0.8% on the day (still updating); BWX −0.6% on the day (still updating); ARM +9.2% on the day (still updating)
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
LONDON, Nov 11 (Reuters) - The Bank of England will not succeed in returning inflation to target before 2030, driven by second-round effects on wages caused by the Iran war, according to forecasts from a leading academic think-tank which also nudged ...
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.6% 30d
SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF-0.6% 15d
iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“uk”).
- BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK
- EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-0.7% 6d
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes the UK
- HSBC HSBC Holdings-5.8% 13d
HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares.
- LIN Linde+8.8% 30d
Linde (industrial inorganic chemicals) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares.
- ARM Arm Holdings-32.9% 19d
Arm Holdings (semiconductors and related devices) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XARNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EWU | +2.09% | -1.48% | base | -0.84% | after close | after close | after close |
| BWX | +0.44% | +0.07% | base | -0.63% | after close | after close | after close |
| EFA | +1.31% | -2.38% | base | -0.25% | after close | after close | after close |
| HSBC | -0.56% | -3.15% | base | -0.61% | after close | after close | after close |
| LIN | +0.59% | -1.26% | base | +0.43% | after close | after close | after close |
| ARM | +5.74% | -3.79% | base | +9.24% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts WKZO
Source: WKZO
How far Ishares Tr (EWU) has moved since 11 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arm Holdings (ARM) | that day | +9.24% | still updating |
| Arm Holdings (ARM) | three days earlier | -3.79% | final price |
| Arm Holdings (ARM) | five days earlier | +5.74% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (BWX) | that day | -0.63% | still updating |
| Spdr Series Trust (BWX) | three days earlier | +0.07% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (BWX) | five days earlier | +0.44% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (EFA) | that day | -0.25% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (EFA) | three days earlier | -2.38% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (EFA) | five days earlier | +1.31% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (EWU) | that day | -0.84% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (EWU) | three days earlier | -1.48% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (EWU) | five days earlier | +2.09% | final price |
| Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) | that day | -0.61% | still updating |
| Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) | three days earlier | -3.15% | final price |
| Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) | five days earlier | -0.56% | final price |
| Linde (LIN) | that day | +0.43% | still updating |
| Linde (LIN) | three days earlier | -1.26% | final price |
| Linde (LIN) | five days earlier | +0.59% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman sold Ishares Tr (EFA) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Linde (LIN) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Linde (LIN) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Linde (LIN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (EWU)
Companies mentioned with this story
- EWU Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (EWU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“uk”)
- BWX Spdr Series Trust
For “UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts,” Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK
- EFA Ishares Tr
For “UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts,” Ishares Tr (EFA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes the UK
- HSBC Hsbc Holdings
In “UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts,” Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares
- LIN Linde
Linde (LIN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts.” Reason on file: Linde (industrial inorganic chemicals) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares
- ARM Arm Holdings
For “UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts,” Arm Holdings (ARM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Arm Holdings (semiconductors and related devices) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares
- RIO Rio Tinto
Rio Tinto (RIO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts.” Reason on file: Rio Tinto Group (metal mining) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares
Ishares Tr (EWU)
“UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts” (11 Nov 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (EWU) through this story.
What ties Ishares Tr (EWU) to the headline is this: iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“uk”)
Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK
Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (EWU) price range
EFA traded between 102.00 and 104.68 across 6 sessions. The latest close on file is 103.46. EWU traded between 45.65 and 47.48 across 12 sessions. The latest close on file is 46.84.
What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (EWU)
77 out of 100Price not final
“UK inflation to overshoot Bank of England target for next 4 years, NIESR forecasts” scores 77 out of 100. The score uses 5 sources, and 7 linked companies. The price is not final yet.