Geopolitics Alpha

Ukraine attacks Kstovo oil refinery with drones: fire and blasts

Published . Updated .

Ukraine attacks Kstovo oil refinery with drones: fire and blasts

Drones struck a Lukoil refinery in Kstovo overnight. Residents reported explosions, while local authorities cite downed drones and an unnamed industrial site.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “drones” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+0.7% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum+13.1% 9d

    Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+19.0% 30d

    Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “drones” (defense) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRAKNo price data for this ticker———————
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITA-1.26%-0.97%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM-1.45%-2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VLONo price data for this ticker———————
MPCNo price data for this ticker———————
LMT-0.27%-1.10%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Ukraine attacks Kstovo oil refinery with drones: fire and blasts Around Prague

Source: Around Prague

Energy

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
ITAthree days earlier-0.97%final price
ITAfive days earlier-1.26%final price
LMTthree days earlier-1.10%final price
LMTfive days earlier-0.27%final price
USOthree days earlier-1.29%final price
USOfive days earlier-1.54%final price
XLEthree days earlier-2.20%final price
XLEfive days earlier-0.51%final price
XOMthree days earlier-2.77%final price
XOMfive days earlier-1.45%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the energy case looks

12 out of 100

“Ukraine attacks Kstovo oil refinery with drones: fire and blasts” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.