Geopolitics Alpha

Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid

Published . Updated .

DEFENSEUkraine Strikes BashneftRefineries as Russia Attacks PowerGridGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about refining and power and utilities.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.

  • XLU Utilities Select Sector SPDR+1.8% 30d

    Utilities Select Sector SPDR: it holds power utilities. Linked by “power grid” (power and utilities) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story.

  • NEE NextEra Energy+2.6% 30d

    NextEra Energy (electric services): power demand and prices drive utility earnings. Linked by “power grid” (power and utilities) in this story.

  • DUK Duke Energy+7.5% 30d

    Duke Energy (electric and other services combined): power demand and prices drive utility earnings. Linked by “power grid” (power and utilities) in this story.

  • SO The Southern+7.7% 30d

    The Southern (electric services): power demand and prices drive utility earnings. Linked by “power grid” (power and utilities) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+0.7% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRAK+4.05%-0.25%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLUNo price data for this ticker———————
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
NEENo price data for this ticker———————
DUKNo price data for this ticker———————
SONo price data for this ticker———————
VLONo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

The price since 31 Oct 2026: Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)three days earlier-0.25%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)five days earlier+4.05%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in defense around Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid.” Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

  • XLU Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Utilities Select Sector SPDR: it holds power utilities. Linked by “power grid” (power and utilities) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story

  • NEE Nextera Energy

    In “Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid,” Nextera Energy (NEE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: NextEra Energy (electric services): power demand and prices drive utility earnings. Linked by “power grid” (power and utilities) in this story

  • DUK Duke Energy

    For “Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid,” Duke Energy (DUK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Duke Energy (electric and other services combined): power demand and prices drive utility earnings. Linked by “power grid” (power and utilities) in this story

  • SO Southern

    In “Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid,” Southern (SO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Southern (electric services): power demand and prices drive utility earnings. Linked by “power grid” (power and utilities) in this story

  • VLO Valero Energy

    Valero Energy (VLO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid.” Reason on file: Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) and the defense link

On 31 Oct 2026, “Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid” is the story that connects Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) to Defense.

For Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK), the reason on file says VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) price range

XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00. XLU traded between 39.05 and 42.88 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 42.56.

The defense score for Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

46 out of 100

“Ukraine Strikes Bashneft Refineries as Russia Attacks Power Grid” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.