Geopolitics Alpha

Ukraine war pushes Russian oil to Arctic route

Published . Updated .

Ukraine war pushes Russian oil to Arctic route

The leader of Gazprom Neft, Russia’s third-biggest oil company, confirms that tankers are being sent to the Northern Sea Route in order to avoid Ukrainian attacks.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline+1.4%

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways-1.4%

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+11.5%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX-0.4%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman+5.3%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics-1.7%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping-2.2%

    Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted

  • DAL Delta Air Lines-0.8%

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRONo price data for this ticker———————
INSWNo price data for this ticker———————
DHTNo price data for this ticker———————
TNKNo price data for this ticker———————
LMT-6.43%-7.02%base+0.17%after closeafter closeafter close
RTX-0.33%-0.66%base-2.06%after closeafter closeafter close
NOC-5.86%-3.30%base-1.57%after closeafter closeafter close
GD-1.89%-1.84%base-1.13%after closeafter closeafter close
ZIMNo price data for this ticker———————
DALNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Ukraine war pushes Russian oil to Arctic route The Barents Observer

Source: The Barents Observer

Arctic

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CVXthat day+1.86%still updating
CVXthree days earlier-0.41%final price
CVXfive days earlier-0.70%final price
GDthat day-1.13%still updating
GDthree days earlier-1.84%final price
GDfive days earlier-1.89%final price
ITAthat day-1.96%still updating
ITAthree days earlier+0.79%final price
ITAfive days earlier+2.30%final price
LMTthat day+0.17%still updating
LMTthree days earlier-7.02%final price
LMTfive days earlier-6.43%final price
NOCthat day-1.57%still updating
NOCthree days earlier-3.30%final price
NOCfive days earlier-5.86%final price
RTXthat day-2.06%still updating
RTXthree days earlier-0.66%final price
RTXfive days earlier-0.33%final price
USOthat day+3.06%still updating
USOthree days earlier-1.11%final price
USOfive days earlier-0.46%final price
WEATthat day+0.13%still updating
WEATthree days earlier+3.06%final price
WEATfive days earlier+5.05%final price
XLEthat day+2.12%still updating
XLEthree days earlier+0.55%final price
XLEfive days earlier+0.97%final price
XOMthat day+1.94%still updating
XOMthree days earlier-0.17%final price
XOMfive days earlier+0.46%final price

Arctic

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Arctic, seven days against thirty

Arctic has 36 linked stories in the last 7 days and 36 in the last 30 on the page that also carries “Ukraine war pushes Russian oil to Arctic route.” The recent pace is rising.

How solid “Ukraine war pushes Russian oil to Arctic route” looks

12 out of 100Price not final

“Ukraine war pushes Russian oil to Arctic route” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.