Ukrainian Drones Hit Yaroslavl Oil Refinery, Trigger Power Outages in Crimea
Published . Updated .
This report is about oil and refining. Names like XOM typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF
VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “drones” (defense) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.6% 15d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- VLO Valero Energy+0.7% 30d
Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- MPC Marathon Petroleum+13.1% 9d
Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +4.37% | +7.30% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +1.44% | +2.16% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CRAK | +1.98% | +0.61% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| ITA | -3.96% | -0.11% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +0.06% | +1.89% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| VLO | +1.54% | +0.86% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +0.19% | +1.58% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| MPC | +1.26% | +0.47% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Ukrainian Drones Hit Yaroslavl Oil Refinery, Trigger Power Outages in Crimea The Moscow Times
Source: The Moscow Times
The price since 3 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) | three days earlier | +0.61% | final price |
| Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) | five days earlier | +1.98% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +1.58% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +0.19% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | -0.11% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | -3.96% | final price |
| Marathon Petroleum (MPC) | three days earlier | +0.47% | final price |
| Marathon Petroleum (MPC) | five days earlier | +1.26% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +7.30% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +4.37% | final price |
| Valero Energy (VLO) | three days earlier | +0.86% | final price |
| Valero Energy (VLO) | five days earlier | +1.54% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +2.16% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +1.44% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +1.89% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +0.06% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 20 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 20 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Marathon Petroleum (MPC), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 19 days before publication. Filed 29 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Marathon Petroleum (MPC), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 42 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How busy Crimea has been lately
Geopolitics Alpha has 1 story about Crimea from the past 7 days and 1 story from the past 30. “Ukrainian Drones Hit Yaroslavl Oil Refinery, Trigger Power Outages in Crimea” is tagged to Crimea.
Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)
Likely winners
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Ukrainian Drones Hit Yaroslavl Oil Refinery, Trigger Power Outages in Crimea.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “Ukrainian Drones Hit Yaroslavl Oil Refinery, Trigger Power Outages in Crimea,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Ukrainian Drones Hit Yaroslavl Oil Refinery, Trigger Power Outages in Crimea,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust
In “Ukrainian Drones Hit Yaroslavl Oil Refinery, Trigger Power Outages in Crimea,” Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Ukrainian Drones Hit Yaroslavl Oil Refinery, Trigger Power Outages in Crimea.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “drones” (defense) in this story
How a Crimea shock reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
On 3 Nov 2026, “Ukrainian Drones Hit Yaroslavl Oil Refinery, Trigger Power Outages in Crimea” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Crimea.
United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range
USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.
The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“Ukrainian Drones Hit Yaroslavl Oil Refinery, Trigger Power Outages in Crimea” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.