US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?
Published . Updated .
Covered by 2 outlets: FOREX.com, StoneX.
Key takeaways
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This report is about inflation and prices and US interest rates.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.3% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR-2.0% 10d
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-2.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+14.1% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- PG The Procter & Gamble+11.5% 30d
The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIP | +0.09% | -0.20% | base | -0.25% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLP | +0.84% | +2.08% | base | +0.89% | after close | after close | after close |
| TLT | -0.24% | -0.19% | base | +0.04% | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | +1.78% | +2.99% | base | +0.11% | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | +1.86% | +5.31% | base | +2.46% | after close | after close | after close |
| COST | -1.21% | -0.66% | base | +1.23% | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | +0.30% | +4.48% | base | +2.87% | after close | after close | after close |
| PG | -1.07% | +1.20% | base | +1.81% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt? FOREX.com
Source: FOREX.com
Price since this story was published: Ishares Tr (TIP)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | that day | +2.87% | final price |
| BAC | three days earlier | +4.48% | final price |
| BAC | five days earlier | +0.30% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | that day | +1.23% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | three days earlier | -0.66% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | five days earlier | -1.21% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | that day | +2.46% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | +5.31% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | +1.86% | final price |
| Procter & Gamble (PG) | that day | +1.81% | final price |
| Procter & Gamble (PG) | three days earlier | +1.20% | final price |
| Procter & Gamble (PG) | five days earlier | -1.07% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | that day | -0.25% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | three days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | five days earlier | +0.09% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | +0.04% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | -0.19% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -0.24% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | that day | +0.11% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | three days earlier | +2.99% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | five days earlier | +1.78% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) | that day | +0.89% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) | three days earlier | +2.08% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) | five days earlier | +0.84% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 42 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 45 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 27 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 45 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 23 Oct 2026. That is 17 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TIP)
Companies carried with this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
In “US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- XLP Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?.” Reason on file: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?.” Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- WMT Walmart
Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- COST Costco Wholesale
Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?.” Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- PG Procter & Gamble
Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?.” Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- KO Coca Cola
Coca Cola (KO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?.” Reason on file: The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?.” Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
Ishares Tr (TIP)
The 9 Nov 2026 story “US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?” names Ishares Tr (TIP) because of this story.
For Ishares Tr (TIP), the reason on file says iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP), is listed for a different reason: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (TIP)
TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46. XLP traded between 80.10 and 82.50 across 6 sessions. The latest close on file is 81.02.
What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (TIP)
54 out of 100
“US CPI Preview: Will Inflation Fall Enough to Put a Fed Hike in Doubt?” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies.