US Fed, Earnings, Crude Oil to Drive Markets This Week
Published . Updated .
Analysts predict US Fed interest rates, quarterly earnings, crude oil prices, and West Asia tensions will be key drivers for stock markets this week. Jio Platforms debut also watched.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond-1.8%
Long-term bonds move when yields change
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond-0.9%
Treasury bonds move when yields change
- SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond-0.3%
Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates
- SPY SPDR S&P 500-0.1%
Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path
- XOM Exxon Mobil+11.0%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- CVX Chevron+9.9%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-5.3%
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- BAC Bank of America-15.0%
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- GS Goldman Sachs-11.4%
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-3.9%
A fund of financial companies
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -2.31% | -1.35% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -1.06% | -0.90% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SHY | -0.24% | -0.27% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SPY | +0.89% | +1.75% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | -2.72% | -2.80% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -3.75% | -2.77% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | +0.58% | +1.08% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | -0.32% | +0.51% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| GS | +0.00% | +3.31% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLF | -1.49% | +0.21% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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US Fed, Earnings, Crude Oil to Drive Markets This Week Rediff MoneyWiz
Source: Rediff MoneyWiz
Energy
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | three days earlier | +0.51% | final price |
| BAC | five days earlier | -0.32% | final price |
| COP | three days earlier | -3.40% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -3.70% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -3.75% | final price |
| GS | three days earlier | +3.31% | final price |
| GS | five days earlier | 0.00% | final price |
| IEF | three days earlier | -0.90% | final price |
| IEF | five days earlier | -1.06% | final price |
| JPM | three days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | +0.58% | final price |
| MPC | three days earlier | +2.58% | final price |
| MPC | five days earlier | +3.75% | final price |
| OIH | three days earlier | -0.91% | final price |
| OIH | five days earlier | -3.02% | final price |
| OXY | three days earlier | -2.27% | final price |
| OXY | five days earlier | -2.23% | final price |
| SHY | three days earlier | -0.27% | final price |
| SHY | five days earlier | -0.24% | final price |
| SPY | three days earlier | +1.75% | final price |
| SPY | five days earlier | +0.89% | final price |
| TLT | three days earlier | -1.35% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | -2.31% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | -5.78% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -5.13% | final price |
| VLO | three days earlier | +4.13% | final price |
| VLO | five days earlier | +3.31% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -1.69% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.19% | final price |
| XLF | three days earlier | +0.21% | final price |
| XLF | five days earlier | -1.49% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -2.80% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -2.72% | final price |
| XOP | three days earlier | -1.32% | final price |
| XOP | five days earlier | -1.09% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought IEF (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 46 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 86 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 53 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 86 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 46 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100
“US Fed, Earnings, Crude Oil to Drive Markets This Week” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.