Geopolitics Alpha

US GDP grew 3.4% and core PCE held at 3.1% — December is now a hike trade, not a cut trade

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHAUS GDP grew 3.4% and core PCE heldat 3.1% — December is now a hiketrade, not a cut tradeGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about inflation and prices.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “pce” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR-3.2% 15d

    Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “pce” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+14.9% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “pce” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • COST Costco Wholesale+12.7% 30d

    Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “pce” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • PG The Procter & Gamble+10.2% 30d

    The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “pce” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • KO The Coca-Cola+8.0% 30d

    The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “pce” (inflation and prices) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TIP-0.20%-0.13%base+0.23%-0.06%after closeafter close
XLP+0.14%-1.11%base+1.44%+3.06%after closeafter close
WMT-1.14%-1.61%base+1.86%+5.33%after closeafter close
COST+0.74%-0.38%base+1.67%+4.50%after closeafter close
PG+0.34%-0.85%base+0.62%+1.89%after closeafter close
KO-0.15%-1.78%base+1.38%+3.25%after closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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US GDP grew 3.4% and core PCE held at 3.1% — December is now a hike trade, not a cut trade Mitrade

Source: Mitrade

This story

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
COSTthat day+1.67%final price
COSTthe next day+4.50%final price
COSTthree days earlier-0.38%final price
COSTfive days earlier+0.74%final price
KOthat day+1.38%final price
KOthe next day+3.25%final price
KOthree days earlier-1.78%final price
KOfive days earlier-0.15%final price
PGthat day+0.62%final price
PGthe next day+1.89%final price
PGthree days earlier-0.85%final price
PGfive days earlier+0.34%final price
TIPthat day+0.23%final price
TIPthe next day-0.06%final price
TIPthree days earlier-0.13%final price
TIPfive days earlier-0.20%final price
WMTthat day+1.86%final price
WMTthe next day+5.33%final price
WMTthree days earlier-1.61%final price
WMTfive days earlier-1.14%final price
XLPthat day+1.44%final price
XLPthe next day+3.06%final price
XLPthree days earlier-1.11%final price
XLPfive days earlier+0.14%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

This story

12 out of 100

“US GDP grew 3.4% and core PCE held at 3.1% — December is now a hike trade, not a cut trade” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.