Geopolitics Alpha

US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table

Published . Updated .

STRAIT OF HORMUZUS-Iran Draft Puts NuclearConcessions, Hormuz And SanctionsOn The Negotiating TableGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+10.0% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • INSW International Seaways+3.4% 10d

    International Seaways (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Teekay Tankers (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
FRO-2.94%-2.39%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DHT-1.70%-2.24%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
INSW+1.66%-0.13%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TNK+0.20%-1.49%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table BW Businessworld

Source: BW Businessworld

17 earlier Strait of Hormuz stories for United States Oil Fund (USO)

Across 17 earlier stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day averaged +4.70%. The largest gain was +6.10% and the largest drop was +2.68%, from 17 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+4.70%+6.10%+2.68%17
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later+2.52%+5.08%+2.22%17
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+1.96%+2.88%-0.95%17
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later+0.62%+1.30%+0.18%17

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 31 Oct 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
DHTthree days earlier-2.24%final price
DHTfive days earlier-1.70%final price
FROthree days earlier-2.39%final price
FROfive days earlier-2.94%final price
INSWthree days earlier-0.13%final price
INSWfive days earlier+1.66%final price
TNKthree days earlier-1.49%final price
TNKfive days earlier+0.20%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

The Strait of Hormuz count beside this story

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 144 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 403 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story

What Strait of Hormuz means for United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table,” the 31 Oct 2026 Strait of Hormuz story.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.21. XLE traded between 61.91 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.72.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“US-Iran Draft Puts Nuclear Concessions, Hormuz And Sanctions On The Negotiating Table” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.