US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets
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This report is about tariffs and trade and oil.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d
Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- INDA iShares MSCI India ETF-3.0% 18d
iShares MSCI India ETF holds stocks listed in India, which this story is about (“indian”).
- CAT Caterpillar-24.1% 30d
Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- DE Deere-0.3% 30d
Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+16.0% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLI | -1.66% | -2.29% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XRT | -2.30% | -0.06% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | +5.38% | +6.75% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BWET | +7.18% | +11.56% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| INDA | -3.89% | -1.98% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CAT | +14.53% | -0.17% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DE | -3.81% | +1.40% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | -4.79% | -1.04% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets Moneycontrol.com
Source: moneycontrol.com
How far Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) has moved since 4 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | three days earlier | +11.56% | final price |
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | five days earlier | +7.18% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | three days earlier | -0.17% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | five days earlier | +14.53% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | three days earlier | +1.40% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | five days earlier | -3.81% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (INDA) | three days earlier | -1.98% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (INDA) | five days earlier | -3.89% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +6.75% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +5.38% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | three days earlier | -1.04% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | five days earlier | -4.79% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | three days earlier | -2.29% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | five days earlier | -1.66% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | three days earlier | -0.06% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | five days earlier | -2.30% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Caterpillar (CAT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who collects and who pays in energy
Companies mentioned with this story
- XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- XRT Spdr Series Trust
In “US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
For “US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story
- INDA Ishares Tr
In “US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets,” Ishares Tr (INDA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI India ETF holds stocks listed in India, which this story is about (“indian”)
- CAT Caterpillar
For “US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- DE Deere
In “US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- WMT Walmart
Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) and the energy link
“US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets” (4 Nov 2026) reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) through Energy.
For Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), the reason on file says Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
What this energy story puts on the calendar
USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.89. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.
The energy score for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
46 out of 100
“US midterm elections: What a Democratic sweep could mean for oil, tariffs and Indian markets” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.