US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY
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Select market data provided by ICE Data Services . Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2026 FactSet Research Systems Inc. Copyright © 2026, American Bankers Association. CUSIP Database provided by FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. SEC filings
Directly affected
- FDS Factset Research Systems
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-2.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.2% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.3% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+14.1% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDS | +4.91% | +4.43% | base | -0.40% | after close | after close | after close |
| TLT | -0.24% | -0.19% | base | +0.04% | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.38% | -0.22% | base | -0.05% | after close | after close | after close |
| TIP | +0.09% | -0.20% | base | -0.25% | after close | after close | after close |
| XRT | +1.17% | +4.73% | base | +3.68% | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | +1.78% | +2.99% | base | +0.11% | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | +1.86% | +5.31% | base | +2.46% | after close | after close | after close |
| COST | -1.21% | -0.66% | base | +1.23% | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | +0.30% | +4.48% | base | +2.87% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY TradingView
Source: TradingView
How far Ishares Tr (TLT) has moved since 9 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | that day | +2.87% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | +4.48% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | +0.30% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | that day | +1.23% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | three days earlier | -0.66% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | five days earlier | -1.21% | final price |
| FDS | that day | -0.40% | final price |
| FDS | three days earlier | +4.43% | final price |
| FDS | five days earlier | +4.91% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | that day | -0.05% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | -0.22% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -0.38% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | that day | +2.46% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | +5.31% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | +1.86% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | that day | -0.25% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | three days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | five days earlier | +0.09% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | +0.04% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | -0.19% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -0.24% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | that day | +0.11% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | three days earlier | +2.99% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | five days earlier | +1.78% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | that day | +3.68% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | three days earlier | +4.73% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | five days earlier | +1.17% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Factset Research Systems (FDS) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 19 Aug 2026. That is 82 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Factset Research Systems (FDS) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 19 Aug 2026. That is 82 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 42 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 45 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 27 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 45 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)
Companies mentioned with this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
In “US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
In “US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
In “US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- XRT Spdr Series Trust
Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story
- WMT Walmart
In “US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
In “US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- COST Costco Wholesale
Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY.” Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
In “US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
Ishares Tr (TLT)
The 9 Nov 2026 story “US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY” names Ishares Tr (TLT) because of this story.
For Ishares Tr (TLT), the reason on file says iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
A second company, Ishares Tr (IEF), is listed for a different reason: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
Price levels for Ishares Tr (TLT)
IEF traded between 88.64 and 90.69 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
A simple score for Ishares Tr (TLT)
46 out of 100
“US NEW YORK FED: CONSUMER 5-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION 3.00% IN OCTOBER, 3.00% IN SEPTEMBER, 3.01% IN AUGUST, 3.02% IN JULY” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.