Geopolitics Alpha

US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • From November 9 to 13, a string of inflation and economic indicators from Japan, the US, and Europe will be released.
  • Exposed: TLT, IEF, TIP, WMT, JPM
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision

From November 9 to 13, a string of inflation and economic indicators from Japan, the US, and Europe will be released. The US October Consumer Price…

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.4% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “cpi” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR-1.1% 11d

    Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “cpi” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-2.9% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“europe”).

  • EWJ iShares MSCI Japan ETF-0.6% 17d

    iShares MSCI Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Japan, which this story is about (“japan”).

  • BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF

    SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Europe

  • EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-0.7% 6d

    iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Europe

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TIP+0.09%-0.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLPPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TLT-0.24%-0.19%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XRTPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VGKPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close
EWJPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWXPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close
EFAPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision BigGo Finance

Source: BigGo Finance

Price since this story was published: Ishares Tr (TLT)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier-0.20%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.09%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier-0.19%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier-0.24%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies tied to this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    In “US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    In “US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    For “US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “cpi” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “cpi” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    For “US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    For “US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “cpi” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    In “US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • PG Procter & Gamble

    For “US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision,” Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “cpi” (inflation and prices) in this story

Ishares Tr (TLT)

“US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision” (7 Nov 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (TLT) through this story.

The link for Ishares Tr (TLT) is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

A second company, Ishares Tr (IEF), is listed for a different reason: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (TLT)

IEF traded between 88.64 and 90.69 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.

A simple score for Ishares Tr (TLT)

46 out of 100

“US October CPI Expected Up 0.3% Month-on-Month; A Week That Will Shape the Fed's Rate Decision” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.