Geopolitics Alpha

US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow

Published . Updated .

GEOPOLITICS ALPHAUS Refiner Margins Hit New Recordsas Fuel Shortage Concerns GrowGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and refining.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story.

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+0.7% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story.

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum+13.1% 9d

    Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CRAKNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VLO+6.57%-2.89%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX-1.54%-2.69%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
MPC+5.85%-0.90%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP-1.71%-3.24%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow EnergyNow.com

Source: EnergyNow.com

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 1 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier-3.24%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier-1.71%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.69%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)three days earlier-0.90%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)five days earlier+5.85%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)three days earlier-2.89%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)five days earlier+6.57%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story

  • CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow,” Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story

  • VLO Valero Energy

    In “US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow,” Valero Energy (VLO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum

    For “US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow,” Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 1 Nov 2026, “US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to this story.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel shortage” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“US Refiner Margins Hit New Records as Fuel Shortage Concerns Grow” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.