US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?
Published . Updated .
TradingKey - This Thursday (October 29), the U.S. will release the September Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. However, because the PCE data will be published after the Federal Reserve's October interest rate decision, this release will not affect the outcome
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR-4.0% 16d
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.3% 30d
SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
- UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund+3.0% 30d
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund: it tracks currencies. Linked by “the dollar” (currencies) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+11.3% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+11.5% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- PG The Procter & Gamble+9.4% 30d
The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- KO The Coca-Cola+4.5% 30d
The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIP | -0.71% | -0.07% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GLDNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UUPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WMTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COST | +0.66% | +1.12% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| PGNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React? TradingKey
Source: TradingKey
The price since 28 Oct 2026: Ishares Tr (TIP) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | three days earlier | +1.12% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | five days earlier | +0.66% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | three days earlier | -0.07% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | five days earlier | -0.71% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Richard W. Allen sold Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 18 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 12 Oct 2026. That is 16 days before publication. Filed 15 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Procter & Gamble (PG) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Procter & Gamble (PG) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern bought Coca Cola (KO) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Coca Cola (KO), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 89 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TIP)
Companies carried with this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
For “US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- XLP Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?.” Reason on file: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- GLD Spdr Gold Trust
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?.” Reason on file: SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
In “US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?,” Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund: it tracks currencies. Linked by “the dollar” (currencies) in this story
- WMT Walmart
In “US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- COST Costco Wholesale
For “US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- PG Procter & Gamble
In “US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?,” Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- KO Coca Cola
In “US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?,” Coca Cola (KO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Ishares Tr (TIP)
“US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?” (28 Oct 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (TIP) through this story.
What ties Ishares Tr (TIP) to the headline is this: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is here too. Its reason reads: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
The price range for Ishares Tr (TIP), and the dates in the story
GLD traded between 373.41 and 400.78 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 379.67. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.67 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. XLP traded between 80.10 and 84.88 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 81.02.
How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (TIP)
46 out of 100
“US Sept. PCE Preview: Inflation May Heat Up Again, How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold React?” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.