Geopolitics Alpha

US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks

Published . Updated .

Covered by 6 outlets: The Killeen Daily Herald, The News-Item, LancasterOnline, Union-Bulletin, Yakima Herald-Republic, Star Beacon.

Key takeaways

  • The U.S.
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, SMH, XOM, CVX
  • Market reaction: USO −3.9% on the day; XLE +0.6% on the day; SMH +5.1% on the day

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US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks

The U.S. stock market is rallying and clawing back more of its big loss from last week as oil prices swing lower. The S&P rose 1.1% Monday and was on

Directly affected

  • NVDA Nvidia-8.4% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-16.4% 30d

    VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+3.0% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+5.4% 19d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+2.7% 10d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • ASML ASML Holding N.V-9.0% 12d

    ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
NVDA+8.30%+7.21%base-4.60%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+5.62%-2.06%base-3.90%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+9.12%+3.08%base+0.56%after closeafter closeafter close
SMH+9.57%+8.79%base+5.09%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.37%+2.16%base-0.67%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+7.15%+2.05%base-1.18%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+7.74%+0.44%base-1.29%after closeafter closeafter close
SHEL+5.91%+2.77%base-0.22%after closeafter closeafter close
ASML+7.09%+5.03%base+6.21%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks The Killeen Daily Herald

Source: The Killeen Daily Herald

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 9 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
ASMLthat day+6.21%final price
ASMLthree days earlier+5.03%final price
ASMLfive days earlier+7.09%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day-1.29%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+7.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-1.18%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+2.05%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+7.15%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)that day-4.60%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)three days earlier+7.21%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)five days earlier+8.30%final price
Shell (SHEL)that day-0.22%final price
Shell (SHEL)three days earlier+2.77%final price
Shell (SHEL)five days earlier+5.91%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)that day+5.09%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)three days earlier+8.79%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)five days earlier+9.57%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-3.90%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.06%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.62%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+0.56%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+3.08%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+9.12%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.67%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+2.16%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+8.37%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SMH Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks,” Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    For “US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 9 Nov 2026, “US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

SMH traded between 506.51 and 639.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 508.07. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

85 out of 100

“US stocks rally as crude oil prices drop, even as Nvidia sinks” scores 85 out of 100. The score uses 6 sources, and 8 linked companies.