Geopolitics Alpha

US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • WASHINGTON, Nov 4 (Reuters) - The US trade deficit narrowed slightly in September, though imports increased to a record high amid an artificial intelligence spending spree by businesses.The report…
  • Exposed: TLT, IEF, XLI, JPM, CAT
  • Market reaction: TLT +0.5% on the day (still updating); IEF +0.4% on the day (still updating); CAT −6.4% on the day (still updating)

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US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high

WASHINGTON, Nov 4 (Reuters) - The US trade deficit narrowed slightly in September, though imports increased to a record high amid an artificial intelligence spending spree by businesses.The report…

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.7% 30d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “trade deficit” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • QQQ Invesco QQQ-9.8% 30d

    Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “artificial intelligence” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-23.2% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “trade deficit” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DE Deere-0.6% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “trade deficit” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT-0.09%+0.94%base+0.45%after closeafter closeafter close
IEF-0.34%+0.64%base+0.37%after closeafter closeafter close
XLI-1.66%-2.29%base-1.23%after closeafter closeafter close
QQQNo price data for this ticker———————
JPM+0.41%-0.26%base+3.84%after closeafter closeafter close
CAT+14.53%-0.17%base-6.42%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC+2.47%+0.71%base+3.07%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-3.81%+1.40%base+1.35%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high Kitco

Source: Kitco

How far Ishares Tr (TLT) has moved since 4 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)that day+3.07%still updating
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier+0.71%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier+2.47%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)that day-6.42%still updating
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier-0.17%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+14.53%final price
Deere (DE)that day+1.35%still updating
Deere (DE)three days earlier+1.40%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-3.81%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)that day+0.37%still updating
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier+0.64%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier-0.34%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)that day+3.84%still updating
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier-0.26%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier+0.41%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day+0.45%still updating
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier+0.94%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier-0.09%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day-1.23%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier-2.29%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier-1.66%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies tied to this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high.” Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    In “US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high.” Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “trade deficit” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    For “US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “trade deficit” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high.” Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • DE Deere

    In “US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “trade deficit” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “trade deficit” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Ishares Tr (TLT)

“US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high” (4 Nov 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (TLT) through this story.

Ishares Tr (TLT) is on the page because iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

Also listed, Ishares Tr (IEF): iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (TLT) price range

IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (TLT)

46 out of 100Price not final

“US trade deficit narrows slightly in September; imports hit record high” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.