Geopolitics Alpha

Valero made $6.8B in the last 3 months. High gas and diesel prices are connected to strong returns.

Published . Updated .

Covered by 2 outlets: Texas Public Radio | TPR, San Antonio Report.

Valero made $6.8B in the last 3 months. High gas and diesel prices are connected to strong returns.

Valero generated more net income in the last three months than in 2024 and 2025 combined despite refining shortage and global conflicts.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+14.2%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX-2.2%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman+5.1%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics-2.1%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense-6.7%

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing-10.5%

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris+2.0%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT-9.31%-8.71%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
RTX+0.57%+0.33%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
NOC-7.45%-2.17%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
GD-2.30%-1.30%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITA+2.64%+1.68%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BA+1.64%+2.12%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
LHX-3.97%-2.45%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
HII-1.72%-0.04%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Valero made $6.8B in the last 3 months. High gas and diesel prices are connected to strong returns. Texas Public Radio | TPR

Source: Texas Public Radio | TPR

This story

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BAthree days earlier+2.12%final price
BAfive days earlier+1.64%final price
GDthree days earlier-1.30%final price
GDfive days earlier-2.30%final price
GLDthree days earlier+3.37%final price
GLDfive days earlier+3.56%final price
HIIthree days earlier-0.04%final price
HIIfive days earlier-1.72%final price
ITAthree days earlier+1.68%final price
ITAfive days earlier+2.64%final price
LHXthree days earlier-2.45%final price
LHXfive days earlier-3.97%final price
LMTthree days earlier-8.71%final price
LMTfive days earlier-9.31%final price
NOCthree days earlier-2.17%final price
NOCfive days earlier-7.45%final price
QQQthree days earlier+2.99%final price
QQQfive days earlier+2.00%final price
RTXthree days earlier+0.33%final price
RTXfive days earlier+0.57%final price
SPYthree days earlier+1.75%final price
SPYfive days earlier+0.89%final price
TLTthree days earlier-1.35%final price
TLTfive days earlier-2.31%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

This story

25 out of 100

“Valero made $6.8B in the last 3 months. High gas and diesel prices are connected to strong returns.” scores 25 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources.