Geopolitics Alpha

Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: ITA, XAR, TIP, WMT, COST
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

DEFENSEVarroc says war inflation cut H1EBITDA by 0.4 percentage pointsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about defense and inflation and prices.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-4.4% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.4% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • COST Costco Wholesale+15.6% 30d

    Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • PG The Procter & Gamble+12.6% 30d

    The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • KO The Coca-Cola+9.0% 30d

    The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA+3.67%+2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XAR+2.91%+0.53%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TIP+0.09%-0.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
WMT+1.78%+2.99%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COST-1.21%-0.66%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
PG-1.07%+1.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
KO+0.20%+0.21%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points Multibagg AI

Source: Multibagg AI

The price since 7 Nov 2026: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Costco Wholesale (COST)three days earlier-0.66%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)five days earlier-1.21%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier+2.77%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier+3.67%final price
Coca Cola (KO)three days earlier+0.21%final price
Coca Cola (KO)five days earlier+0.20%final price
Procter & Gamble (PG)three days earlier+1.20%final price
Procter & Gamble (PG)five days earlier-1.07%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier-0.20%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.09%final price
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier+2.99%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier+1.78%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)three days earlier+0.53%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)five days earlier+2.91%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) on one side of this defense story

Companies tied to this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 7 Nov 2026 story “Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    In “Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 7 Nov 2026 story “Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points.” Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • PG Procter & Gamble

    For “Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points,” Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • KO Coca Cola

    In “Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points,” Coca Cola (KO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

How defense news reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

The 7 Nov 2026 story “Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points” names IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) because of Defense.

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is on the page because iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XAR): SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

Price levels for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. XAR traded between 210.89 and 237.55 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 231.04.

How solid the defense case looks

46 out of 100

“Varroc says war inflation cut H1 EBITDA by 0.4 percentage points” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.