View from Europe: US midterm elections: unfulfilled economic promises
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
This report is about Europe.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“europe”).
- ASML ASML Holding N.V-0.1% 17d
ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“europe”) reaches its shares.
- HSBC HSBC Holdings-7.7% 17d
HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“europe”) reaches its shares.
- SHEL Shell-2.5% 12d
Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“europe”) reaches its shares.
- NVS Novartis AG+1.5% 16d
Novartis AG (pharmaceutical preparations) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“europe”) reaches its shares.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | -1.15% | +0.07% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| ASML | +7.22% | +9.85% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| HSBC | +0.10% | +0.79% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SHEL | -0.17% | +2.59% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| NVS | -2.88% | -0.25% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
View from Europe: US midterm elections: unfulfilled economic promises American Journal of Transportation
How far Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) has moved since 3 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asml Holding (ASML) | three days earlier | +9.85% | final price |
| Asml Holding (ASML) | five days earlier | +7.22% | final price |
| Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) | three days earlier | +0.79% | final price |
| Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) | five days earlier | +0.10% | final price |
| Novartis Ag (NVS) | three days earlier | -0.25% | final price |
| Novartis Ag (NVS) | five days earlier | -2.88% | final price |
| Shell (SHEL) | three days earlier | +2.59% | final price |
| Shell (SHEL) | five days earlier | -0.17% | final price |
| Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) | three days earlier | +0.07% | final price |
| Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) | five days earlier | -1.15% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Asml Holding (ASML) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Oct 2026. That is 11 days before publication. Filed 28 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul bought Asml Holding (ASML) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 7 Aug 2026. That is 88 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Novartis Ag (NVS), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)
Companies carried with this story
- VGK Vanguard Intl Equity Index F
In “View from Europe: US midterm elections: unfulfilled economic promises,” Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“europe”)
- ASML Asml Holding
For “View from Europe: US midterm elections: unfulfilled economic promises,” Asml Holding (ASML) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“europe”) reaches its shares
- HSBC Hsbc Holdings
In “View from Europe: US midterm elections: unfulfilled economic promises,” Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“europe”) reaches its shares
- SHEL Shell
Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “View from Europe: US midterm elections: unfulfilled economic promises.” Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“europe”) reaches its shares
- NVS Novartis Ag
In “View from Europe: US midterm elections: unfulfilled economic promises,” Novartis Ag (NVS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Novartis AG (pharmaceutical preparations) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“europe”) reaches its shares
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)
The 3 Nov 2026 story “View from Europe: US midterm elections: unfulfilled economic promises” names Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) because of this story.
What ties Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) to the headline is this: Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“europe”)
Also listed, Asml Holding (ASML): ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“europe”) reaches its shares
Dates and price levels for Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)
ASML traded between 1583.71 and 1868.68 across 13 sessions. The latest close on file is 1590.17. HSBC traded between 91.56 and 101.84 across 13 sessions. The latest close on file is 94.32.
How strong the case is around Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)
40 out of 100
“View from Europe: US midterm elections: unfulfilled economic promises” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies.