Wall Street Banks Raise Oil Price Forecasts as Supply Fears Deepen
Published . Updated .
This report is about oil and banks. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-3.8% 30d
Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.9% 15d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+10.5% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+7.7% 30d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d
Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-1.7% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +0.80% | -2.73% | base | +1.41% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +0.88% | -0.71% | base | +1.41% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLFNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | +0.03% | -1.79% | base | +1.31% | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +0.78% | -1.37% | base | +1.71% | after close | after close | after close |
| COP | +0.55% | -1.36% | base | +1.63% | after close | after close | after close |
| SHELNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Wall Street Banks Raise Oil Price Forecasts as Supply Fears Deepen Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com
How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 30 Oct 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conocophillips (COP) | that day | +1.63% | still updating |
| Conocophillips (COP) | three days earlier | -1.36% | final price |
| Conocophillips (COP) | five days earlier | +0.55% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | that day | +1.71% | still updating |
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | -1.37% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +0.78% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | that day | +1.41% | still updating |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | -2.73% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +0.80% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | that day | +1.41% | still updating |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | -0.71% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +0.88% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | that day | +1.31% | still updating |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | -1.79% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +0.03% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 16 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 16 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story
The side that tends to collect
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Wall Street Banks Raise Oil Price Forecasts as Supply Fears Deepen.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
In “Wall Street Banks Raise Oil Price Forecasts as Supply Fears Deepen,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
For “Wall Street Banks Raise Oil Price Forecasts as Supply Fears Deepen,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Wall Street Banks Raise Oil Price Forecasts as Supply Fears Deepen,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “Wall Street Banks Raise Oil Price Forecasts as Supply Fears Deepen,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story
- COP Conocophillips
Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Wall Street Banks Raise Oil Price Forecasts as Supply Fears Deepen.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Wall Street Banks Raise Oil Price Forecasts as Supply Fears Deepen,” the 30 Oct 2026 Energy story.
The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
What this energy story puts on the calendar
USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.21. XLE traded between 61.91 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.72. XLF traded between 52.82 and 56.03 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 55.07.
How solid the energy case looks
46 out of 100Price not final
“Wall Street Banks Raise Oil Price Forecasts as Supply Fears Deepen” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.