Warsh likely to signal more rate hikes as inflation remains persistent (US10Y:)
Published . Updated .
This report is about Defense and Interest rates. Names like LMT and RTX typically gain because defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises.
Directly affected
- RTX Rtx
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- LMT Lockheed Martin+4.2%
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- NOC Northrop Grumman+2.8%
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- GD General Dynamics-3.4%
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond-1.8%
Long-term bonds move when yields change
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond-0.9%
Treasury bonds move when yields change
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense-5.8%
A fund of aerospace and defense companies
- BA Boeing-6.2%
Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending
- LHX L3Harris-0.6%
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- HII Huntington Ingalls
Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTX | -0.33% | -0.66% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| LMT | -6.43% | -7.02% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| NOC | -5.86% | -3.30% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| GD | -1.89% | -1.84% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TLT | -2.07% | -1.97% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.86% | -1.06% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| ITA | +2.30% | +0.79% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BA | +1.35% | +1.49% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| LHX | -2.26% | -2.14% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| HII | -2.62% | -2.41% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Warsh likely to signal more rate hikes as inflation remains persistent (US10Y:) Seeking Alpha
Source: Seeking Alpha
Defense
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BA | three days earlier | +1.49% | final price |
| BA | five days earlier | +1.35% | final price |
| GD | three days earlier | -1.84% | final price |
| GD | five days earlier | -1.89% | final price |
| HII | three days earlier | -2.41% | final price |
| HII | five days earlier | -2.62% | final price |
| IEF | three days earlier | -1.06% | final price |
| IEF | five days earlier | -0.86% | final price |
| ITA | three days earlier | +0.79% | final price |
| ITA | five days earlier | +2.30% | final price |
| LHX | three days earlier | -2.14% | final price |
| LHX | five days earlier | -2.26% | final price |
| LMT | three days earlier | -7.02% | final price |
| LMT | five days earlier | -6.43% | final price |
| NOC | three days earlier | -3.30% | final price |
| NOC | five days earlier | -5.86% | final price |
| RTX | three days earlier | -0.66% | final price |
| RTX | five days earlier | -0.33% | final price |
| TLT | three days earlier | -1.97% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | -2.07% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 36 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. John Boozman bought IEF (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 44 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Boeing (BA), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Boeing (BA) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 13 Aug 2026. That is 71 days before publication. Filed 1 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Boeing (BA) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 13 Aug 2026. That is 71 days before publication. Filed 1 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Richard Dean McCormick sold L3Harris Technologies (LHX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 30 Jul 2026. That is 85 days before publication. Filed 14 Aug 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid the defense case looks
12 out of 100
“Warsh likely to signal more rate hikes as inflation remains persistent (US10Y:)” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.