Geopolitics Alpha

WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • The effectiveness of European Union trade sanctions, Common High Priority (CHP) items and export controls, the role of crypto-assets in sanctions circumvention, sanctions enforcement, and the impact o...
  • Exposed: ITA, XAR, USO, UNG, XOM
  • Market reaction: ITA −2.2% on the day; XAR −2.1% on the day; USO +3.4% on the day

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WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article

The effectiveness of European Union trade sanctions, Common High Priority (CHP) items and export controls, the role of crypto-assets in sanctions circumvention, sanctions enforcement, and the impact o...

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.2% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.5% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story.

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-16.2% 30d

    VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “export controls” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“european”).

  • ASML ASML Holding N.V-13.3% 10d

    Chipmaking-equipment sales follow export rules. Linked by “export control” in this story

  • TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing-10.2% 30d

    The main advanced-chip manufacturer sits in Taiwan. Linked by “export control” in this story

  • NVDA Nvidia-8.2% 30d

    Chip makers and their suppliers move when export rules or Taiwan risk changes. Linked by “export control” in this story

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA-7.07%-2.20%base-2.16%after closeafter closeafter close
XAR-10.74%-1.42%base-2.06%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+4.74%+0.82%base+3.43%after closeafter closeafter close
SMH-12.00%-3.92%base-1.04%after closeafter closeafter close
VGK-1.21%+0.58%base-0.61%after closeafter closeafter close
ASML-11.40%-1.39%base-2.42%after closeafter closeafter close
TSM-14.72%-5.94%base-1.86%after closeafter closeafter close
NVDA+4.45%+2.76%base-4.48%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article LSM

Source: LSM

Price since this story was published: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
ASMLthat day-2.42%final price
ASMLthree days earlier-1.39%final price
ASMLfive days earlier-11.40%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-2.16%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-2.20%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-7.07%final price
NVDAthat day-4.48%final price
NVDAthree days earlier+2.76%final price
NVDAfive days earlier+4.45%final price
SMHthat day-1.04%final price
SMHthree days earlier-3.92%final price
SMHfive days earlier-12.00%final price
TSMthat day-1.86%final price
TSMthree days earlier-5.94%final price
TSMfive days earlier-14.72%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+3.43%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+0.82%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.74%final price
VGKthat day-0.61%final price
VGKthree days earlier+0.58%final price
VGKfive days earlier-1.21%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)that day-2.06%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)three days earlier-1.42%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)five days earlier-10.74%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

Companies tied to this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    For “WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    In “WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “russia” (natural gas) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    For “WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    In “WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and the defense link

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is the company in “WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article,” the 12 Nov 2026 Defense story.

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is on the page because iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XAR), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

The price range for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), and the dates in the story

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XAR traded between 210.89 and 237.55 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 231.04.

What the saved facts support for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

46 out of 100

“WATCH: 'Sanctions Work: Degrading Russia’s War Machine' conference / Article” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.