What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision
Published . Updated .
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates on hold on Wednesday, six days before the US midterm elections, but with inflation at 3.7% and oil prices still elevated, investors see another hike in December as likely and will scour Chair Kevin Warsh's words for clues.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund+2.7% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-5.5% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-15.0% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton+5.1% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -1.92% | +0.06% | base | -0.01% | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.97% | +0.09% | base | +0.02% | after close | after close | after close |
| USONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TIPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPM | +0.37% | +0.74% | base | +0.45% | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | +0.22% | +1.07% | base | +0.01% | after close | after close | after close |
| DHINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SCHWNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision Euronews.com
Source: euronews.com
Ishares Tr (TLT) since “What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision,” compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | that day | +0.01% | still updating |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | +1.07% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | +0.22% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | that day | +0.02% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | +0.09% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -0.97% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | that day | +0.45% | still updating |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | +0.74% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | +0.37% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | -0.01% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | +0.06% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -1.92% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 53 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 53 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 71 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)
Companies mentioned with this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
For “What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision.” Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
For “What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
In “What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- DHI Horton D R
Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision.” Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- SCHW Schwab Charles
In “What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision,” Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
How “What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision” reaches Ishares Tr (TLT)
Ishares Tr (TLT) is the company in “What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision,” the 27 Oct 2026 this story story.
For Ishares Tr (TLT), the reason on file says iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
Ishares Tr (IEF) is here too. Its reason reads: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
The price range for Ishares Tr (TLT), and the dates in the story
IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. JPM traded between 325.12 and 344.37 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 334.12. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (TLT)
46 out of 100Price not final
“What to expect from the Federal Reserve's next rate decision” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.