Geopolitics Alpha

Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise.

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Dr.
  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, CAT, DE, WMT
  • Market reaction: XRT −1.3% on the day (still updating); XLI +0.8% on the day (still updating); CAT +1.8% on the day (still updating)

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Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise.

Dr. Sheng Lu sought to discover whether most apparel retailers indeed passed along the additional cost of duties to their shoppers, or whether they actually opted to absorb the lion’s share themselves.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “apparel” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR+5.7% 30d

    Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR: it holds retailers. Linked by “apparel” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.2% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “apparel” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • AMZN Amazon.com+8.7% 30d

    Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “apparel” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • COST Costco Wholesale+17.1% 30d

    Costco Wholesale (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “apparel” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • TGT Target-1.0% 30d

    Target (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “apparel” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-27.9% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XRT+1.39%-3.19%base-1.26%after closeafter closeafter close
XLY+1.02%-2.89%base-0.55%after closeafter closeafter close
XLI+0.40%-3.60%base+0.79%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT+2.97%-0.02%base-1.30%after closeafter closeafter close
AMZN-1.76%-4.23%base-1.61%after closeafter closeafter close
COST-1.85%-1.20%base+1.05%after closeafter closeafter close
TGT+0.75%-2.13%base-0.54%after closeafter closeafter close
CAT+1.14%-4.42%base+1.79%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise. WWD

Source: WWD

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amazon Com (AMZN)that day-1.61%still updating
Amazon Com (AMZN)three days earlier-4.23%final price
Amazon Com (AMZN)five days earlier-1.76%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)that day+1.79%still updating
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier-4.42%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+1.14%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)that day+1.05%still updating
Costco Wholesale (COST)three days earlier-1.20%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)five days earlier-1.85%final price
TGTthat day-0.54%still updating
TGTthree days earlier-2.13%final price
TGTfive days earlier+0.75%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day-1.30%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-0.02%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier+2.97%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day+0.79%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier-3.60%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier+0.40%final price
XLYthat day-0.55%still updating
XLYthree days earlier-2.89%final price
XLYfive days earlier+1.02%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day-1.26%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier-3.19%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier+1.39%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies tied to this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise.,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise..” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    For “Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise.,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise..” Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise.,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise..” Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • AMZN Amazon Com

    Amazon Com (AMZN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise..” Reason on file: Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “apparel” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    For “Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise.,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “apparel” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is the company in “Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise.,” the 11 Nov 2026 this story story.

What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to the headline is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XRT): SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) price range

CAT traded between 550.88 and 770.00 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 584.51. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

What the saved facts support for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Who Paid the Tariffs on Apparel Last Year? The Answer Might Be a Surprise.” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.