Geopolitics Alpha

‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms

Published . Updated .

‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms

The trade war between Canada and the U.S. is putting a strain on businesses in Alaska, a state that could elect a Democratic senator for the first time in nearly two decades.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-1.5% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • EWC iShares MSCI Canada ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“canada”).

  • CAT Caterpillar-23.7% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-0.9% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+14.9% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • NKE Nike+7.1% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLI-0.27%+0.65%base+1.25%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT-1.50%-2.24%base+2.03%after closeafter closeafter close
EWCNo price data for this ticker———————
CAT+11.08%+14.72%base-1.85%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-5.07%-5.14%base-2.01%after closeafter closeafter close
WMTNo price data for this ticker———————
NKENo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms BNN Bloomberg

Source: BNN Bloomberg

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Caterpillar (CAT)that day-1.85%still updating
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier+14.72%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+11.08%final price
Deere (DE)that day-2.01%still updating
Deere (DE)three days earlier-5.14%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-5.07%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day+1.25%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier+0.65%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier-0.27%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day+2.03%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier-2.24%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-1.50%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who collects and who pays in defense

Companies carried with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    In “‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • EWC Ishares Msci Canada Etf

    In “‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms,” Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“canada”)

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    For “‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    In “‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story

How defense news reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

On 2 Nov 2026, “‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to Defense.

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is on the page because Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tradewar” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

EWC traded between 57.81 and 61.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 60.61. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 167.42.

A simple score for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100Price not final

“‘Who picks a fight with Canada?’ Trade war angers Alaskan businesses ahead of U.S. midterms” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies. The price is not final yet.