Geopolitics Alpha

Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher

Published . Updated .

Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher

The ABS may be overstating Australia’s inflation problem – just look at cigarettes, solar energy and electric cars.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TAN Invesco Solar ETF-6.4% 30d

    Invesco Solar ETF: it holds solar and clean-energy companies. Linked by “solar” (clean energy) in this story.

  • ICLN iShares Global Clean Energy ETF-7.3% 30d

    iShares Global Clean Energy ETF: it holds solar and clean-energy companies. Linked by “solar” (clean energy) in this story.

  • CARZ First Trust S-Network Future Vehicles & Technology ETF

    First Trust S-Network Future Vehicles & Technology ETF: it holds carmakers and parts makers. Linked by “cars” (autos) in this story.

  • EWA iShares MSCI Australia ETF+2.2% 30d

    iShares MSCI Australia ETF holds stocks listed in Australia, which this story is about (“australia”).

  • BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF

    SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Australia

  • EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-2.2% 11d

    iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Australia

  • FSLR First Solar-12.7% 30d

    First Solar (semiconductors and related devices): clean-energy firms move with renewables policy and demand. Linked by “solar” (clean energy) in this story.

  • TSLA Tesla+6.6% 30d

    Tesla (motor vehicles and passenger car bodies): carmakers move with demand, costs and trade rules. Linked by “cars” (autos) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TANNo price data for this ticker———————
ICLNNo price data for this ticker———————
CARZNo price data for this ticker———————
EWANo price data for this ticker———————
BWXNo price data for this ticker———————
EFANo price data for this ticker———————
FSLRNo price data for this ticker———————
TSLANo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher AFR

Source: AFR

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    For “Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    For “Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher.” Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher.” Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher.” Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    In “Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

  • PG Procter & Gamble

    Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher.” Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

Ishares Tr (TLT)

Ishares Tr (TLT) is the company in “Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher,” the 1 Nov 2026 this story story.

The link for Ishares Tr (TLT) is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

Also listed, Ishares Tr (IEF): iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

The price range for Ishares Tr (TLT), and the dates in the story

IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.67 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.

How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (TLT)

46 out of 100

“Why ABS inflation data may be unnecessarily driving interest rates higher” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.