Why Falling Oil Prices Won't Save America From Inflation
Published . Updated .
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This report is about oil and inflation and prices. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.5% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF+0.7% 17d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+2.9% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+6.5% 30d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- SHEL Shell+0.8% 7d
Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+19.7% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +1.59% | -3.20% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -4.15% | -3.23% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TIP | +1.44% | +0.49% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | -2.28% | -3.14% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -1.78% | -2.44% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COP | -2.69% | -3.19% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SHEL | +0.54% | -1.30% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | -0.55% | -0.53% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Why Falling Oil Prices Won't Save America From Inflation Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com
Energy
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| COP | three days earlier | -3.19% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -2.69% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -2.44% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -1.78% | final price |
| SHEL | three days earlier | -1.30% | final price |
| SHEL | five days earlier | +0.54% | final price |
| TIP | three days earlier | +0.49% | final price |
| TIP | five days earlier | +1.44% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | -3.20% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | +1.59% | final price |
| WMT | three days earlier | -0.53% | final price |
| WMT | five days earlier | -0.55% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -3.23% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -4.15% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -3.14% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -2.28% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 79 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 81 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 84 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 7 Oct 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 42 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid “Why Falling Oil Prices Won't Save America From Inflation” looks
12 out of 100
“Why Falling Oil Prices Won't Save America From Inflation” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.