Geopolitics Alpha

Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • War in the Middle East has affected energy prices and pushed up inflation – we have raised Bank Rate to curb any knock-on effects on the rest of the economy
  • Exposed: EWU, BWX, EFA, HSBC, LIN
  • Market reaction: EWU −2.1% on the day; BWX +0.1% on the day; ARM −13.2% on the day

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Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?

War in the Middle East has affected energy prices and pushed up inflation – we have raised Bank Rate to curb any knock-on effects on the rest of the economy

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-5.0% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “energy prices” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “energy prices” (oil) in this story.

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-1.4% 30d

    Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “energy prices” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF-2.3% 19d

    iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“uk”).

  • BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF

    SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK

  • EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-2.4% 8d

    iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes the UK

  • BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+15.71%+7.84%base+1.93%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+8.14%+5.85%base-2.34%after closeafter closeafter close
XLF-3.78%-2.75%base-2.65%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+32.30%+28.62%base-4.78%after closeafter closeafter close
EWU-2.57%-1.84%base-2.15%after closeafter closeafter close
BWX-0.60%-0.53%base+0.05%after closeafter closeafter close
EFA-1.31%-1.92%base-2.88%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC-0.95%-4.00%base-3.07%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Why have interest rates gone up in the UK? Bank of England

Source: Bank of England

Ishares Tr (EWU) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day-3.07%final price
BACthree days earlier-4.00%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.95%final price
BWETthat day-4.78%final price
BWETthree days earlier+28.62%final price
BWETfive days earlier+32.30%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)that day+0.05%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)three days earlier-0.53%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)five days earlier-0.60%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)that day-2.88%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)three days earlier-1.92%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)five days earlier-1.31%final price
Ishares Tr (EWU)that day-2.15%final price
Ishares Tr (EWU)three days earlier-1.84%final price
Ishares Tr (EWU)five days earlier-2.57%final price
USOthat day+1.93%final price
USOthree days earlier+7.84%final price
USOfive days earlier+15.71%final price
XLEthat day-2.34%final price
XLEthree days earlier+5.85%final price
XLEfive days earlier+8.14%final price
XLFthat day-2.65%final price
XLFthree days earlier-2.75%final price
XLFfive days earlier-3.78%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

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Middle East on the map for this story

Middle East

Geopolitics Alpha has 0 stories about Middle East from the past 7 days and 0 stories from the past 30. “Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?” is tagged to Middle East.

Who gains and who pays if Middle East stays in the story

Companies tied to this story

  • EWU Ishares Tr

    In “Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?,” Ishares Tr (EWU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“uk”)

  • BWX Spdr Series Trust

    For “Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?,” Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK

  • EFA Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (EFA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes the UK

  • HSBC Hsbc Holdings

    In “Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?,” Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares

  • LIN Linde

    Linde (LIN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?.” Reason on file: Linde (industrial inorganic chemicals) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares

  • ARM Arm Holdings

    Arm Holdings (ARM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?.” Reason on file: Arm Holdings (semiconductors and related devices) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares

  • RIO Rio Tinto

    Rio Tinto (RIO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?.” Reason on file: Rio Tinto Group (metal mining) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares

What Middle East means for Ishares Tr (EWU)

Ishares Tr (EWU) is the company in “Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?,” the 5 Nov 2026 Middle East story.

The link for Ishares Tr (EWU) is this: iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“uk”)

Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK

Price levels for Ishares Tr (EWU)

EFA traded between 102.00 and 104.68 across 6 sessions. The latest close on file is 103.46. EWU traded between 45.65 and 47.88 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 46.84.

What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (EWU)

46 out of 100

“Why have interest rates gone up in the UK?” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.