Geopolitics Alpha

Will Additional Refinery Capacity Help U.S. Elections?

Published . Updated .

ENERGYWill Additional Refinery CapacityHelp U.S. Elections?GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about refining.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+5.6% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+11.5% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum+10.2% 7d

    Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • PSX Phillips 66+14.5% 30d

    Phillips 66 (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+11.8% 12d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRAKNo price data for this ticker———————
XLE-2.19%-1.69%base+0.30%-1.51%after closeafter close
VLO+3.31%+4.13%base+1.53%-7.13%after closeafter close
MPC+3.75%+2.58%base+2.58%-4.42%after closeafter close
PSXNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-2.72%-2.80%base+0.41%-1.64%after closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Will Additional Refinery Capacity Help U.S. Elections? Industrial Info Resources

Source: Industrial Info Resources

Energy

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
MPCthat day+2.58%final price
MPCthe next day-4.42%final price
MPCthree days earlier+2.58%final price
MPCfive days earlier+3.75%final price
VLOthat day+1.53%final price
VLOthe next day-7.13%final price
VLOthree days earlier+4.13%final price
VLOfive days earlier+3.31%final price
XLEthat day+0.30%final price
XLEthe next day-1.51%final price
XLEthree days earlier-1.69%final price
XLEfive days earlier-2.19%final price
XOMthat day+0.41%final price
XOMthe next day-1.64%final price
XOMthree days earlier-2.80%final price
XOMfive days earlier-2.72%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid “Will Additional Refinery Capacity Help U.S. Elections?” looks

12 out of 100

“Will Additional Refinery Capacity Help U.S. Elections?” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.