Wood Mackenzie: one in five refineries at closure risk as global oil demand peaks in 2032
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This report is about oil and refining. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF
VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- VLO Valero Energy+3.1% 30d
Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.
- MPC Marathon Petroleum+8.7% 11d
Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+11.1% 19d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +15.71% | +7.84% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +8.14% | +5.85% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CRAK | +4.46% | +3.83% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +8.08% | +6.08% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +6.66% | +5.01% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| VLO | +5.34% | +4.45% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| MPC | +10.19% | +9.67% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COP | +9.55% | +7.27% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Wood Mackenzie: one in five refineries at closure risk as global oil demand peaks in 2032 Hydrocarbon Engineering
Source: Hydrocarbon Engineering
United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conocophillips (COP) | three days earlier | +7.27% | final price |
| Conocophillips (COP) | five days earlier | +9.55% | final price |
| Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) | three days earlier | +3.83% | final price |
| Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) | five days earlier | +4.46% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +5.01% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +6.66% | final price |
| Marathon Petroleum (MPC) | three days earlier | +9.67% | final price |
| Marathon Petroleum (MPC) | five days earlier | +10.19% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +7.84% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +15.71% | final price |
| Valero Energy (VLO) | three days earlier | +4.45% | final price |
| Valero Energy (VLO) | five days earlier | +5.34% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +5.85% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +8.14% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +6.08% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +8.08% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 43 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Marathon Petroleum (MPC), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 21 days before publication. Filed 29 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Marathon Petroleum (MPC), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 44 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 71 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 73 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 76 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story
Companies that tend to gain
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
For “Wood Mackenzie: one in five refineries at closure risk as global oil demand peaks in 2032,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “Wood Mackenzie: one in five refineries at closure risk as global oil demand peaks in 2032,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
For “Wood Mackenzie: one in five refineries at closure risk as global oil demand peaks in 2032,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “Wood Mackenzie: one in five refineries at closure risk as global oil demand peaks in 2032,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust
In “Wood Mackenzie: one in five refineries at closure risk as global oil demand peaks in 2032,” Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story
- VLO Valero Energy
Valero Energy (VLO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Wood Mackenzie: one in five refineries at closure risk as global oil demand peaks in 2032.” Reason on file: Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Wood Mackenzie: one in five refineries at closure risk as global oil demand peaks in 2032,” the 5 Nov 2026 Energy story.
The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)
USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.
A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“Wood Mackenzie: one in five refineries at closure risk as global oil demand peaks in 2032” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.