2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict
Published . Updated .
This report is about oil and defense. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF-0.8% 12d
iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israel”).
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.6% 15d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- LMT Lockheed Martin+19.0% 30d
Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +4.37% | +7.30% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +1.44% | +2.16% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| ITANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EISNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | +0.06% | +1.89% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| LMT | -3.13% | +0.07% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict Britannica
Source: Britannica
How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved after the last 17 energy shocks
In the last 17 similar stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) moved an average of -3.69% the next day. The best was -3.69% and the worst was -3.69%, from 17 prices.
| Company | When | Average | Largest gain | Largest drop | Prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | the next day | -3.69% | -3.69% | -3.69% | 17 |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days later | -1.37% | -1.37% | -1.37% | 17 |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | the next day | -1.51% | -1.51% | -1.51% | 17 |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days later | -0.87% | -0.87% | -0.87% | 17 |
- Kuwait Could Recover 70% of Oil Production in 6-8 Weeks After Hormuz Reopens, KPC Executive Says
- Oil slick from tanker in Hormuz Strait washes up on UAE beaches
- Shafaq News..UKMTO: Hormuz shipping slumps, Bab Al-Mandab holds steady
- Aramco CEO warns of 2% GDP growth, >6% inflation, if Hormuz disruption continues – Chemicals and the Economy
- Outdated Video Does Not Show Attack on Emirati Tanker Near Strait of Hormuz
- The Strait of Hormuz: A Trap for Trump
Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| LMT | three days earlier | +0.07% | final price |
| LMT | five days earlier | -3.13% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +7.30% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +4.37% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +2.16% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +1.44% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +1.89% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +0.06% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 20 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 20 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Occidental Petroleum (OXY), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
The Strait of Hormuz count beside this story
Geopolitics Alpha has 182 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 480 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.
Who collects and who pays in energy
The side that tends to collect
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- OXY Occidental Petroleum
In “2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict,” Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
For “2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
In “2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
For “2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story
How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
On 3 Nov 2026, “2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Strait of Hormuz.
What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range
ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 209.72. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.
How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“2026 Iran war | Oil, Explained, United States, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Map, & Conflict” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.