Apple Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will John Ternus Say?
Published . Updated .
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) reports fiscal fourth-quarter earnings Monday after the bell, days after overtaking Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) as the world’s most valuable company. Analysts expect $1.99 per share on $113.4 billion in revenue, while Earnings Whispers puts its unofficial
Directly affected
Indirectly affected
- IAI iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-12.3% 30d
VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.
- ASML ASML Holding N.V+1.0% 18d
ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.
- TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing-8.8% 30d
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.
- NDAQ Nasdaq+12.2% 30d
Nasdaq (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- CME CME Group+2.7% 9d
CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- ICE Intercontinental Exchange+8.7% 30d
Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- CBOE Cboe Global Markets+23.9% 30d
Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | -0.24% | -0.21% | base | -1.24% | after close | after close | after close |
| NVDANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| IAI | +0.59% | +0.72% | base | +0.00% | after close | after close | after close |
| SMHNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ASMLNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TSMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NDAQ | -1.44% | -0.61% | base | +1.69% | after close | after close | after close |
| CME | +1.59% | -3.00% | base | -0.24% | after close | after close | after close |
| ICE | -5.24% | -7.62% | base | +0.75% | after close | after close | after close |
| CBOE | -0.11% | -4.33% | base | +2.19% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Apple Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will John Ternus Say? Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance
Ishares Tr (IAI) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | that day | -1.24% | still updating |
| AAPL | three days earlier | -0.21% | final price |
| AAPL | five days earlier | -0.24% | final price |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | that day | +2.19% | still updating |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | three days earlier | -4.33% | final price |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | five days earlier | -0.11% | final price |
| Cme Group (CME) | that day | -0.24% | superseded |
| Cme Group (CME) | three days earlier | -3.00% | final price |
| Cme Group (CME) | five days earlier | +1.59% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | that day | 0.00% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | three days earlier | +0.72% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | five days earlier | +0.59% | final price |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | that day | +0.75% | superseded |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | three days earlier | -7.62% | final price |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | five days earlier | -5.24% | final price |
| Nasdaq (NDAQ) | that day | +1.69% | still updating |
| Nasdaq (NDAQ) | three days earlier | -0.61% | final price |
| Nasdaq (NDAQ) | five days earlier | -1.44% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Apple (AAPL) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Apple (AAPL) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Apple (AAPL), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 8 Sep 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Nvidia (NVDA) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Nvidia (NVDA), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 1 Oct 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 22 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Nvidia (NVDA) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Asml Holding (ASML) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Oct 2026. That is 10 days before publication. Filed 28 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul bought Asml Holding (ASML) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 7 Aug 2026. That is 87 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Oct 2026. That is 24 days before publication. Filed 22 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Aug 2026. That is 69 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. April McClain Delaney sold Nasdaq (NDAQ) (held by a dependent child), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 25 Aug 2026. That is 69 days before publication. Filed 9 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (IAI)
Companies tied to this story
- IAI Ishares Tr
In “Apple Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will John Ternus Say?,” Ishares Tr (IAI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- CME Cme Group
For “Apple Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will John Ternus Say?,” Cme Group (CME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- ICE Intercontinental Exchange
In “Apple Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will John Ternus Say?,” Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- CBOE Cboe Global Markets
For “Apple Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will John Ternus Say?,” Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- NDAQ Nasdaq
For “Apple Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will John Ternus Say?,” Nasdaq (NDAQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nasdaq (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Ishares Tr (IAI)
“Apple Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will John Ternus Say?” (2 Nov 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (IAI) through this story.
Ishares Tr (IAI) is on the page because iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Also listed, Cme Group (CME): CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (IAI) price range
CME traded between 290.48 and 309.31 across 9 sessions. The latest close on file is 303.20. ICE traded between 147.61 and 169.90 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.86.
A simple score for Ishares Tr (IAI)
40 out of 100Price not final
“Apple Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will John Ternus Say?” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies. The price is not final yet.