Palantir Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Alex Karp Say?
Published . Updated .
Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR) fell sharply Friday, as investors weigh whether its AI growth can justify its valuation ahead of Monday’s third-quarter earnings. Analysts expect earnings of 41 cents per share on $2.18 billion in revenue, up 84% year over...
Directly affected
- PLTR Palantir Technologies+0.6% 30d
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- IAI iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- QQQ Invesco QQQ-2.6% 30d
Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- CME CME Group+2.7% 9d
CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- ICE Intercontinental Exchange+8.7% 30d
Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- NDAQ Nasdaq+12.2% 30d
Nasdaq (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- CBOE Cboe Global Markets+23.9% 30d
Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- MSFT Microsoft+4.0% 30d
Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- GOOGL Alphabet-21.2% 30d
Alphabet (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | +8.02% | +6.94% | base | +1.56% | after close | after close | after close |
| IAI | +0.59% | +0.72% | base | +0.00% | after close | after close | after close |
| QQQ | +3.12% | +5.08% | base | +1.18% | after close | after close | after close |
| CME | +1.59% | -3.00% | base | -0.24% | after close | after close | after close |
| ICE | -5.24% | -7.62% | base | +0.75% | after close | after close | after close |
| NDAQ | -1.44% | -0.61% | base | +1.69% | after close | after close | after close |
| CBOE | -0.11% | -4.33% | base | +2.19% | after close | after close | after close |
| MSFTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GOOGLNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Palantir Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Alex Karp Say? Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance
Ishares Tr (IAI) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | that day | +2.19% | still updating |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | three days earlier | -4.33% | final price |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | five days earlier | -0.11% | final price |
| Cme Group (CME) | that day | -0.24% | still updating |
| Cme Group (CME) | three days earlier | -3.00% | final price |
| Cme Group (CME) | five days earlier | +1.59% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | that day | 0.00% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | three days earlier | +0.72% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | five days earlier | +0.59% | final price |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | that day | +0.75% | still updating |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | three days earlier | -7.62% | final price |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | five days earlier | -5.24% | final price |
| Nasdaq (NDAQ) | that day | +1.69% | still updating |
| Nasdaq (NDAQ) | three days earlier | -0.61% | final price |
| Nasdaq (NDAQ) | five days earlier | -1.44% | final price |
| PLTR | that day | +1.56% | still updating |
| PLTR | three days earlier | +6.94% | final price |
| PLTR | five days earlier | +8.02% | final price |
| QQQ | that day | +1.18% | still updating |
| QQQ | three days earlier | +5.08% | final price |
| QQQ | five days earlier | +3.12% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Palantir Technologies (PLTR), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Palantir Technologies (PLTR), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Palantir Technologies (PLTR), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 10 Aug 2026. That is 84 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Cme Group (CME), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Cme Group (CME), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 10 Aug 2026. That is 84 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. April McClain Delaney sold Nasdaq (NDAQ) (held by a dependent child), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 25 Aug 2026. That is 69 days before publication. Filed 9 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 30 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael Rulli sold Microsoft (MSFT), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 35 days before publication. Filed 2 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Alphabet (GOOGL), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 18 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Alphabet (GOOGL) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Thomas H. Kean Jr sold Alphabet (GOOGL), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 12 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (IAI)
Companies mentioned with this story
- IAI Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IAI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Palantir Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Alex Karp Say?.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- CME Cme Group
In “Palantir Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Alex Karp Say?,” Cme Group (CME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- ICE Intercontinental Exchange
For “Palantir Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Alex Karp Say?,” Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- CBOE Cboe Global Markets
For “Palantir Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Alex Karp Say?,” Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- NDAQ Nasdaq
In “Palantir Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Alex Karp Say?,” Nasdaq (NDAQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nasdaq (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Ishares Tr (IAI)
On 2 Nov 2026, “Palantir Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Alex Karp Say?” is the story that connects Ishares Tr (IAI) to this story.
Ishares Tr (IAI) is on the page because iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Also listed, Cme Group (CME): CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (IAI) price range
CME traded between 290.48 and 309.31 across 9 sessions. The latest close on file is 303.20. ICE traded between 147.61 and 169.90 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.86.
How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (IAI)
40 out of 100Price not final
“Palantir Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Alex Karp Say?” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies. The price is not final yet.