Geopolitics Alpha

Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, BWET, KSA, XOM
  • Market reaction: USO +0.3% on the day (still updating); XLE −0.2% on the day (still updating); BWET −8.1% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZAramco begins expansion of oilexport route bypassing HormuzGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+8.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • KSA iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF-8.2% 30d

    iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF holds stocks listed in Saudi Arabia, which this story is about (“aramco”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+6.2% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+12.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+4.8% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell-2.5% 12d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%base+0.28%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%base-0.19%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET-1.54%+2.86%base-8.08%after closeafter closeafter close
KSA+1.02%+0.47%base+0.36%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%base-0.88%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%base-0.75%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+0.74%+2.12%base-1.53%after closeafter closeafter close
SHEL-0.17%+2.59%base-0.53%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz Al-Monitor

Source: Al-Monitor

What happened to United States Oil Fund (USO) the last 20 times Strait of Hormuz was in the news

Those 20 earlier stories put United States Oil Fund (USO) at an average move of -1.37% the next day. Largest gain +3.26%, largest drop -3.69%, from 20 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-1.37%+3.26%-3.69%20
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later+0.47%+6.12%-1.37%20
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-1.36%+3.24%-1.69%20
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-0.02%+2.27%-0.87%20
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day+0.28%+0.48%+0.12%16
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later+4.59%+4.59%+4.59%16

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-8.08%still updating
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+2.86%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day-1.53%still updating
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+2.12%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+0.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-0.75%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
Ishares Msci Saudi Arabia Etf (KSA)that day+0.36%still updating
Ishares Msci Saudi Arabia Etf (KSA)three days earlier+0.47%final price
Ishares Msci Saudi Arabia Etf (KSA)five days earlier+1.02%final price
Shell (SHEL)that day-0.53%still updating
Shell (SHEL)three days earlier+2.59%final price
Shell (SHEL)five days earlier-0.17%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+0.28%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.19%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.88%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Where this story sits: Strait of Hormuz

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 190 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 497 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • KSA Ishares Msci Saudi Arabia Etf

    Ishares Msci Saudi Arabia Etf (KSA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF holds stocks listed in Saudi Arabia, which this story is about (“aramco”)

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    In “Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz,” the 3 Nov 2026 Strait of Hormuz story.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.89. XLE traded between 62.95 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.26.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Aramco begins expansion of oil export route bypassing Hormuz” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.