Geopolitics Alpha

Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: XLF, KRE, EWQ, BAC, JPM
  • Market reaction: XLF −0.3% on the day (still updating); KRE −0.1% on the day (still updating); WFC −0.8% on the day (still updating)

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHABank of France Likely to Cut 2026Growth Forecast, Moulin SaysGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about banks and France.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-3.1% 30d

    Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF-4.7% 30d

    SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.

  • EWQ iShares MSCI France ETF-6.0% 10d

    iShares MSCI France ETF holds stocks listed in France, which this story is about (“france”).

  • BAC Bank of America-11.5% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.2% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.

  • WFC Wells Fargo+3.3% 30d

    Wells Fargo (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.

  • C Citigroup-7.1% 30d

    Citigroup (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLF-2.88%-1.05%base-0.29%after closeafter closeafter close
KRE-1.58%-1.17%base-0.05%after closeafter closeafter close
EWQ-2.15%-0.78%base+0.14%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC+2.23%+3.18%base+0.60%after closeafter closeafter close
JPM-1.44%+0.85%base-0.73%after closeafter closeafter close
WFC-3.77%-1.28%base-0.81%after closeafter closeafter close
C-0.37%+2.14%base-0.36%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

The price since 3 Nov 2026: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)that day+0.60%still updating
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier+3.18%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier+2.23%final price
Citigroup (C)that day-0.36%still updating
Citigroup (C)three days earlier+2.14%final price
Citigroup (C)five days earlier-0.37%final price
Ishares (EWQ)that day+0.14%still updating
Ishares (EWQ)three days earlier-0.78%final price
Ishares (EWQ)five days earlier-2.15%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)that day-0.73%still updating
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier+0.85%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier-1.44%final price
Spdr Series Trust (KRE)that day-0.05%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (KRE)three days earlier-1.17%final price
Spdr Series Trust (KRE)five days earlier-1.58%final price
Wells Fargo (WFC)that day-0.81%still updating
Wells Fargo (WFC)three days earlier-1.28%final price
Wells Fargo (WFC)five days earlier-3.77%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)that day-0.29%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)three days earlier-1.05%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)five days earlier-2.88%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story

  • KRE Spdr Series Trust

    In “Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says,” Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story

  • EWQ Ishares

    Ishares (EWQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI France ETF holds stocks listed in France, which this story is about (“france”)

  • BAC Bank Of America

    For “Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    In “Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story

  • WFC Wells Fargo

    In “Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says,” Wells Fargo (WFC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Wells Fargo (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story

  • C Citigroup

    For “Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says,” Citigroup (C) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Citigroup (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is the company in “Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says,” the 3 Nov 2026 this story story.

For Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF), the reason on file says Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (KRE), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story

The price range for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF), and the dates in the story

EWQ traded between 40.92 and 42.05 across 6 sessions. The latest close on file is 41.61. KRE traded between 67.80 and 71.93 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.61. XLF traded between 52.82 and 56.03 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 55.07.

How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Bank of France Likely to Cut 2026 Growth Forecast, Moulin Says” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies. The price is not final yet.