Geopolitics Alpha

Because of the wars, the Israeli economy suffers from a prolonged recession

Published . Updated .

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Because of the wars, the Israeli economy suffers from a prolonged recession

Israel's economy is suffering from a prolonged recession, as has always been the case when the Israeli-Palestinian conflict flares up

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF-4.5% 11d

    iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”).

  • TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries+0.7% 6d

    Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (pharmaceutical preparations) is one of the largest Israel-based companies traded in the US, so news about Israel (“israeli”) reaches its shares.

  • ESLT Elbit Systems-3.4% 6d

    Elbit Systems (aircraft parts and auxiliary equipment) is one of the largest Israel-based companies traded in the US, so news about Israel (“israeli”) reaches its shares.

  • TSEM Tower Semiconductor-29.3% 30d

    Tower Semiconductor (semiconductors and related devices) is one of the largest Israel-based companies traded in the US, so news about Israel (“israeli”) reaches its shares.

  • CHKP Check Point Software Technologies+3.4% 30d

    Check Point Software Technologies (prepackaged software) is one of the largest Israel-based companies traded in the US, so news about Israel (“israeli”) reaches its shares.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
EIS+3.35%+0.97%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TEVA-4.53%-1.90%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ESLT+8.68%+3.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TSEM+12.99%+8.32%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CHKP-1.85%+2.27%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Because of the wars, the Israeli economy suffers from a prolonged recession Tomorrow's Affairs

Source: Tomorrow's Affairs

Defense

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CHKPthree days earlier+2.27%final price
CHKPfive days earlier-1.85%final price
EISthree days earlier+0.97%final price
EISfive days earlier+3.35%final price
ESLTthree days earlier+3.08%final price
ESLTfive days earlier+8.68%final price
TEVAthree days earlier-1.90%final price
TEVAfive days earlier-4.53%final price
TSEMthree days earlier+8.32%final price
TSEMfive days earlier+12.99%final price

How solid the defense case looks

12 out of 100

“Because of the wars, the Israeli economy suffers from a prolonged recession” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.