Geopolitics Alpha

Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: XOM, CVX, COP, USO, XLE
  • Market reaction: XOM −1.0% on the day (still updating); CVX −1.0% on the day (still updating); BWET −7.8% on the day (still updating)

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DEFENSEBesieged by war, Saudi Aramcocontinues to gush profitsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and defense.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+8.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “aramco” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • KSA iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF-8.2% 30d

    iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF holds stocks listed in Saudi Arabia, which this story is about (“saudi”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+6.2% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+12.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+4.8% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%base+1.03%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%base-0.60%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA-3.96%-0.11%base+1.03%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET-1.54%+2.86%base-7.81%after closeafter closeafter close
KSA+1.02%+0.47%base+0.15%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%base-0.98%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%base-0.96%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+0.74%+2.12%base-1.72%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits The Economist

Source: The Economist

ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) compared with industrial stocks (XLI) since 3 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-7.81%still updating
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+2.86%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day-1.72%still updating
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+2.12%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+0.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-0.96%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day+1.03%still updating
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-0.11%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-3.96%final price
Ishares Msci Saudi Arabia Etf (KSA)that day+0.15%still updating
Ishares Msci Saudi Arabia Etf (KSA)three days earlier+0.47%final price
Ishares Msci Saudi Arabia Etf (KSA)five days earlier+1.02%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+1.03%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.60%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.98%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) on one side of this defense story

Companies carried with this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    For “Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “aramco” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • KSA Ishares Msci Saudi Arabia Etf

    For “Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits,” Ishares Msci Saudi Arabia Etf (KSA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF holds stocks listed in Saudi Arabia, which this story is about (“saudi”)

ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) and the defense link

The 3 Nov 2026 story “Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits” names ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) because of Defense.

What ties ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) to the headline is this: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story

A second company, Chevron (CVX), is listed for a different reason: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “aramco” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)

COP traded between 127.24 and 152.76 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 147.96. CVX traded between 204.86 and 236.45 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 227.84. XOM traded between 172.72 and 188.47 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 179.77.

What the saved facts support for ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Besieged by war, Saudi Aramco continues to gush profits” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.