Geopolitics Alpha

BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead

Published . Updated .

Covered by 4 outlets: KTVN, Union-Bulletin, Ottumwa Courier, Associated Press.

Who covered it: Center 1 · Not rated 3. How we rate outlets

Key takeaways

  • The Bank of England is raising interest rates for the first time in more than three years in an effort to tackle an inflation shock stoked by the Iran war.
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, XOM, CVX, COP
  • Market reaction: XLE −2.3% on the day; USO +1.9% on the day; XOM −2.4% on the day

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead

The Bank of England is raising interest rates for the first time in more than three years in an effort to tackle an inflation shock stoked by the Iran war.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-5.0% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF-2.3% 19d

    iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“england”).

  • BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF

    SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK

  • EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-2.4% 8d

    iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes the UK

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+15.71%+7.84%base+1.93%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+8.14%+5.85%base-2.34%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+32.30%+28.62%base-4.78%after closeafter closeafter close
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
EWU-2.57%-1.84%base-2.15%after closeafter closeafter close
BWX-0.60%-0.53%base+0.05%after closeafter closeafter close
EFA-1.31%-1.92%base-2.88%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.08%+6.08%base-2.44%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead KTVN

Source: KTVN

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BWETthat day-4.78%final price
BWETthree days earlier+28.62%final price
BWETfive days earlier+32.30%final price
BWXthat day+0.05%final price
BWXthree days earlier-0.53%final price
BWXfive days earlier-0.60%final price
EFAthat day-2.88%final price
EFAthree days earlier-1.92%final price
EFAfive days earlier-1.31%final price
EWUthat day-2.15%final price
EWUthree days earlier-1.84%final price
EWUfive days earlier-2.57%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+1.93%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.84%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+15.71%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-2.34%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+5.85%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+8.14%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-2.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+6.08%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+8.08%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead.” Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

On 5 Nov 2026, “BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 145.42. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70. XOM traded between 167.40 and 188.47 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.46.

How solid the energy case looks

77 out of 100

“BoE hikes rate for first time in 3 years; retreating oil prices may allow for more options ahead” scores 77 out of 100. The score uses 5 sources, and 6 linked companies.