Geopolitics Alpha

Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference

Published . Updated .

GEOPOLITICS ALPHABoth the US and France Have BigDeficits. But There’s One BigDifferenceGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about US interest rates and France.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • EWQ iShares MSCI France ETF-6.5% 11d

    iShares MSCI France ETF holds stocks listed in France, which this story is about (“france”).

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase-5.5% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-15.0% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DHI D.R. Horton+5.1% 30d

    D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • SCHW The Charles Schwab

    The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT-1.92%+0.06%base-0.14%after closeafter closeafter close
IEF-0.97%+0.09%base-0.02%after closeafter closeafter close
EWQ+0.93%+0.69%base+0.67%after closeafter closeafter close
JPM+0.37%+0.74%base+0.44%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC+0.22%+1.07%base-0.07%after closeafter closeafter close
DHI-4.42%+0.78%base-0.92%after closeafter closeafter close
SCHW+1.26%+1.90%base-0.37%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

Ishares Tr (TLT) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)that day-0.07%still updating
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier+1.07%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier+0.22%final price
Horton D R (DHI)that day-0.92%still updating
Horton D R (DHI)three days earlier+0.78%final price
Horton D R (DHI)five days earlier-4.42%final price
Ishares (EWQ)that day+0.67%still updating
Ishares (EWQ)three days earlier+0.69%final price
Ishares (EWQ)five days earlier+0.93%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)that day-0.02%still updating
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier+0.09%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier-0.97%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)that day+0.44%still updating
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier+0.74%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier+0.37%final price
Schwab Charles (SCHW)that day-0.37%still updating
Schwab Charles (SCHW)three days earlier+1.90%final price
Schwab Charles (SCHW)five days earlier+1.26%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day-0.14%still updating
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier+0.06%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier-1.92%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies carried with this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference.” Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference.” Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • EWQ Ishares

    In “Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference,” Ishares (EWQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI France ETF holds stocks listed in France, which this story is about (“france”)

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    For “Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference.” Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • DHI Horton D R

    For “Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference,” Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • SCHW Schwab Charles

    Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference.” Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

Ishares Tr (TLT)

Ishares Tr (TLT) is the company in “Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference,” the 27 Oct 2026 this story story.

The link for Ishares Tr (TLT) is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

A second company, Ishares Tr (IEF), is listed for a different reason: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

The price range for Ishares Tr (TLT), and the dates in the story

EWQ traded between 40.92 and 44.72 across 11 sessions. The latest close on file is 41.61. IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.

A simple score for Ishares Tr (TLT)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Both the US and France Have Big Deficits. But There’s One Big Difference” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies. The price is not final yet.