Geopolitics Alpha

Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's surprising election victory

Published . Updated .

GEOPOLITICS ALPHABrazilian stocks plunge afterLula's surprising election victoryGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about Brazil.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil ETF+12.9% 30d

    iShares MSCI Brazil ETF holds stocks listed in Brazil, which this story is about (“brazilian”).

  • PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

    Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (crude petroleum and natural gas) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares.

  • ITUB Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A+23.6% 8d

    Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A (state commercial banks) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares.

  • NU Nu Holdings

    Nu Holdings (finance services) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares.

  • VALE Vale S.A-3.1% 12d

    Vale S.A (metal mining) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
EWZ-1.50%-0.19%base-22.94%after closeafter closeafter close
PBR-2.33%-1.87%base-17.97%after closeafter closeafter close
ITUB-2.38%+0.36%base-24.10%after closeafter closeafter close
NU-4.32%-0.69%base-20.75%after closeafter closeafter close
VALE+5.81%+2.42%base-3.35%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's surprising election victory Yahoo Finance

Source: Yahoo Finance

Price since this story was published: Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)that day-22.94%still updating
Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)three days earlier-0.19%final price
Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)five days earlier-1.50%final price
Itau Unibanco Holding S.A (ITUB)that day-24.10%still updating
Itau Unibanco Holding S.A (ITUB)three days earlier+0.36%final price
Itau Unibanco Holding S.A (ITUB)five days earlier-2.38%final price
Nu Holdings (NU)that day-20.75%still updating
Nu Holdings (NU)three days earlier-0.69%final price
Nu Holdings (NU)five days earlier-4.32%final price
Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)that day-17.97%still updating
Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)three days earlier-1.87%final price
Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)five days earlier-2.33%final price
Vale S.A (VALE)that day-3.35%still updating
Vale S.A (VALE)three days earlier+2.42%final price
Vale S.A (VALE)five days earlier+5.81%final price

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)

Companies tied to this story

  • EWZ Ishares Msci Brazil Etf

    Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's surprising election victory.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Brazil ETF holds stocks listed in Brazil, which this story is about (“brazilian”)

  • PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro

    Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's surprising election victory.” Reason on file: Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (crude petroleum and natural gas) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares

  • ITUB Itau Unibanco Holding S.A

    For “Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's surprising election victory,” Itau Unibanco Holding S.A (ITUB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A (state commercial banks) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares

  • NU Nu Holdings

    Nu Holdings (NU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's surprising election victory.” Reason on file: Nu Holdings (finance services) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares

  • VALE Vale S.A

    Vale S.A (VALE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's surprising election victory.” Reason on file: Vale S.A (metal mining) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares

Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)

On 26 Oct 2026, “Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's surprising election victory” is the story that connects Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ) to this story.

What ties Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ) to the headline is this: iShares MSCI Brazil ETF holds stocks listed in Brazil, which this story is about (“brazilian”)

A second company, Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR), is listed for a different reason: Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (crude petroleum and natural gas) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares

Price levels for Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)

EWZ traded between 35.98 and 43.77 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 42.59. ITUB traded between 8.06 and 10.20 across 8 sessions. The latest close on file is 10.18. PBR traded between 20.98 and 21.98 across 2 sessions. The latest close on file is 21.75.

What the saved facts support for Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)

40 out of 100Price not final

“Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's surprising election victory” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies. The price is not final yet.