Geopolitics Alpha

Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15%

Published . Updated .

GEOPOLITICS ALPHABrazilian Stocks Tumble as LulaWins Surprise Fourth Term: NuHoldings Sinks 25%, Petrobras…NUMELIGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about Brazil.

Directly affected

  • NU Nu Holdings

    Named in this report.

  • MELI Mercadolibre-1.3% 6d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil ETF+12.9% 30d

    iShares MSCI Brazil ETF holds stocks listed in Brazil, which this story is about (“brazilian”).

  • PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

    Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (crude petroleum and natural gas) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares.

  • ITUB Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A+23.6% 8d

    Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A (state commercial banks) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares.

  • VALE Vale S.A-3.1% 12d

    Vale S.A (metal mining) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares.

  • ABEV Ambev S.A+6.6% 30d

    Ambev S.A (beverages) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
NU-4.32%-0.69%base-20.75%after closeafter closeafter close
MELI+1.54%+2.44%base-10.24%after closeafter closeafter close
EWZ-1.50%-0.19%base-22.94%after closeafter closeafter close
PBR-2.33%-1.87%base-17.97%after closeafter closeafter close
ITUB-2.38%+0.36%base-24.10%after closeafter closeafter close
VALE+5.81%+2.42%base-3.35%after closeafter closeafter close
ABEVNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15% Yahoo Finance

Source: Yahoo Finance

The price since 26 Oct 2026: Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)that day-22.94%still updating
Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)three days earlier-0.19%final price
Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)five days earlier-1.50%final price
Itau Unibanco Holding S.A (ITUB)that day-24.10%still updating
Itau Unibanco Holding S.A (ITUB)three days earlier+0.36%final price
Itau Unibanco Holding S.A (ITUB)five days earlier-2.38%final price
MELIthat day-10.24%still updating
MELIthree days earlier+2.44%final price
MELIfive days earlier+1.54%final price
Nu Holdings (NU)that day-20.75%still updating
Nu Holdings (NU)three days earlier-0.69%final price
Nu Holdings (NU)five days earlier-4.32%final price
Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)that day-17.97%still updating
Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)three days earlier-1.87%final price
Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)five days earlier-2.33%final price
Vale S.A (VALE)that day-3.35%still updating
Vale S.A (VALE)three days earlier+2.42%final price
Vale S.A (VALE)five days earlier+5.81%final price

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)

Companies tied to this story

  • EWZ Ishares Msci Brazil Etf

    For “Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15%,” Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Brazil ETF holds stocks listed in Brazil, which this story is about (“brazilian”)

  • PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro

    For “Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15%,” Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (crude petroleum and natural gas) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares

  • ITUB Itau Unibanco Holding S.A

    Itau Unibanco Holding S.A (ITUB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15%.” Reason on file: Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A (state commercial banks) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares

  • NU Nu Holdings

    Nu Holdings (NU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15%.” Reason on file: Nu Holdings (finance services) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares

  • VALE Vale S.A

    In “Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15%,” Vale S.A (VALE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Vale S.A (metal mining) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares

Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)

The 26 Oct 2026 story “Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15%” names Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ) because of this story.

What ties Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ) to the headline is this: iShares MSCI Brazil ETF holds stocks listed in Brazil, which this story is about (“brazilian”)

Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR) is here too. Its reason reads: Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (crude petroleum and natural gas) is one of the largest Brazil-based companies traded in the US, so news about Brazil (“brazilian”) reaches its shares

Dates in the story, and the Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ) price range

EWZ traded between 35.98 and 43.77 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 42.59. ITUB traded between 8.06 and 10.20 across 8 sessions. The latest close on file is 10.18. PBR traded between 20.98 and 21.98 across 2 sessions. The latest close on file is 21.75.

What the saved facts support for Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)

40 out of 100Price not final

“Brazilian Stocks Tumble as Lula Wins Surprise Fourth Term: Nu Holdings Sinks 25%, Petrobras Tumbles 21%, MercadoLibre Drops 15%” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies. The price is not final yet.