Geopolitics Alpha

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Daily news recap: Brent crude just topped $110 for the first time since May... and the oil market is betting this war gets worse. The traders moving billions of dollars through oil markets see intelligence most people never will, and the price they're paying

Published . Updated .

ENERGY🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Daily news recap: Brentcrude just topped $110 for thefirst time since May... and the…PPLIRTXGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about Defense and Energy. Names like LMT and RTX typically gain because defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises.

Directly affected

  • PPLI People

    Named in this report.

  • RTX Rtx-0.4%

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+11.5%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman+5.3%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics-1.7%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XOM Exxon Mobil+7.9%

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron+5.9%

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense-6.7%

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing-10.9%

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris+2.1%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
PPLI+5.35%+4.57%base-0.83%+1.35%+0.36%+2.18%
RTX-3.75%-3.88%base-0.96%-0.32%-1.20%+0.34%
LMT-7.26%-5.46%base-0.70%-0.63%-0.05%+6.87%
NOC-6.73%-4.68%base-1.82%+2.72%+3.79%+6.22%
GD-2.62%-2.77%base-0.81%+0.05%+0.21%+1.92%
XOM-3.82%-1.14%base-0.44%-0.63%-0.52%-0.46%
CVX-4.43%-1.29%base-0.22%+0.30%+0.79%+0.71%
ITA-1.45%-2.33%base-0.71%-1.48%-1.64%-2.25%
BA-0.30%-2.89%base+0.68%+0.13%+1.16%-1.34%
LHX-4.14%-4.40%base-1.84%+0.12%-0.28%+2.31%
HII-2.79%-2.64%base-0.77%+0.22%+0.93%+2.69%

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Daily news recap: Brent crude just topped $110 for the first time since May... and the oil market is betting this war gets worse. The traders moving billions of dollars through oil markets see intelligence most people never will, and…

Source: X

Energy

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BAthat day+0.68%final price
BAthe next day+0.13%final price
BAtwo days later+1.16%final price
BAthree days later-1.34%final price
BAthree days earlier-2.89%final price
BAfive days earlier-0.30%final price
CVXthat day-0.22%final price
CVXthe next day+0.30%final price
CVXtwo days later+0.79%final price
CVXthree days later+0.71%final price
CVXthree days earlier-1.29%final price
CVXfive days earlier-4.43%final price
GDthat day-0.81%final price
GDthe next day+0.05%final price
GDtwo days later+0.21%final price
GDthree days later+1.92%final price
GDthree days earlier-2.77%final price
GDfive days earlier-2.62%final price
HIIthat day-0.77%final price
HIIthe next day+0.22%final price
HIItwo days later+0.93%final price
HIIthree days later+2.69%final price
HIIthree days earlier-2.64%final price
HIIfive days earlier-2.79%final price
ITAthat day-0.71%final price
ITAthe next day-1.48%final price
ITAtwo days later-1.64%final price
ITAthree days later-2.25%final price
ITAthree days earlier-2.33%final price
ITAfive days earlier-1.45%final price
LHXthat day-1.84%final price
LHXthe next day+0.12%final price
LHXtwo days later-0.28%final price
LHXthree days later+2.31%final price
LHXthree days earlier-4.40%final price
LHXfive days earlier-4.14%final price
LMTthat day-0.70%final price
LMTthe next day-0.63%final price
LMTtwo days later-0.05%final price
LMTthree days later+6.87%final price
LMTthree days earlier-5.46%final price
LMTfive days earlier-7.26%final price
NOCthat day-1.82%final price
NOCthe next day+2.72%final price
NOCtwo days later+3.79%final price
NOCthree days later+6.22%final price
NOCthree days earlier-4.68%final price
NOCfive days earlier-6.73%final price
PPLIthat day-0.83%final price
PPLIthe next day+1.35%final price
PPLItwo days later+0.36%final price
PPLIthree days later+2.18%final price
PPLIthree days earlier+4.57%final price
PPLIfive days earlier+5.35%final price
RTXthat day-0.96%final price
RTXthe next day-0.32%final price
RTXtwo days later-1.20%final price
RTXthree days later+0.34%final price
RTXthree days earlier-3.88%final price
RTXfive days earlier-3.75%final price
XOMthat day-0.44%final price
XOMthe next day-0.63%final price
XOMtwo days later-0.52%final price
XOMthree days later-0.46%final price
XOMthree days earlier-1.14%final price
XOMfive days earlier-3.82%final price
SPY
XLE

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the energy case looks

12 out of 100

“🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Daily news recap: Brent crude just topped $110 for the first time since May... and the oil market is betting this war gets worse. The traders moving billions of dollars through oil markets see intelligence most people never will, and the price they're paying” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.