Geopolitics Alpha

Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft

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Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft

In October, Ukraine’s Defense Forces focused their deep strikes not only on Russian oil refineries, as they traditionally do, but also on military airfields and facilities involved in ballistic missile production.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “missile” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-6.6% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “missile” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story.

  • TDG TransDigm Group+3.4% 30d

    TransDigm Group (aircraft parts and auxiliary equipment): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “missile” (defense) in this story.

  • RTX Rtx+2.3% 11d

    Rtx (aircraft engines and engine parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “missile” (defense) in this story.

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+19.0% 30d

    Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “missile” (defense) in this story.

  • NOC Northrop Grumman+5.9% 30d

    Northrop Grumman (search, detection, navigation, guidance, aeronautical sys): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “missile” (defense) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA-1.26%-0.97%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XARNo price data for this ticker———————
USONo price data for this ticker———————
CRAKNo price data for this ticker———————
TDGNo price data for this ticker———————
RTX-1.19%-1.88%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
LMT-0.27%-1.10%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
NOC+1.43%-0.90%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

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Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft Мілітарний

Source: 블루밍비트

The price since 1 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-0.97%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-1.26%final price
LMTthree days earlier-1.10%final price
LMTfive days earlier-0.27%final price
NOCthree days earlier-0.90%final price
NOCfive days earlier+1.43%final price
RTXthree days earlier-1.88%final price
RTXfive days earlier-1.19%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft.” Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “missile” (defense) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • VLO Valero Energy

    Valero Energy (VLO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft.” Reason on file: Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum

    In “Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft,” Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refineries” (refining) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

The 1 Nov 2026 story “Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Deep Strikes in October: Missile Production, Oil Refineries and Russian Aircraft” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.