Geopolitics Alpha

EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro

Published . Updated .

Covered by 2 outlets: StoneX, FOREX.com.

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: COST, TIP, XLP, VGK, FXE
  • Market reaction: COST −0.7% on the day (still updating); TIP −0.6% on the day (still updating); BWX −0.8% on the day (still updating)

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

GEOPOLITICS ALPHAEUR/USD Analysis: U.S. InflationData Keeps Pressure on the EuroGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about inflation and prices and Europe.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR

    Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“euro”).

  • FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust

    Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust follows the euro, whose moves this story covers.

  • BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF

    SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Europe

  • EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF

    iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Europe

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TIP+0.06%+0.20%base-0.62%after closeafter closeafter close
XLP-2.12%+0.44%base-0.50%after closeafter closeafter close
VGK-2.67%-1.78%base-0.38%after closeafter closeafter close
FXE-0.25%-0.00%base+0.00%after closeafter closeafter close
BWX-1.27%-0.37%base-0.79%after closeafter closeafter close
EFA-1.78%-2.18%base-0.45%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT-0.64%+1.67%base-0.53%after closeafter closeafter close
COST-4.41%-0.01%base-0.66%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro StoneX

Source: StoneX

Costco Wholesale (COST) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)that day-0.79%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)three days earlier-0.37%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)five days earlier-1.27%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)that day-0.66%still updating
Costco Wholesale (COST)three days earlier-0.01%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)five days earlier-4.41%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)that day-0.45%still updating
Ishares Tr (EFA)three days earlier-2.18%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)five days earlier-1.78%final price
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE)that day0.00%still updating
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE)three days earlier-0.00%final price
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE)five days earlier-0.25%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)that day-0.62%still updating
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.20%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.06%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)that day-0.38%still updating
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)three days earlier-1.78%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)five days earlier-2.67%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day-0.53%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier+1.67%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-0.64%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)that day-0.50%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP)five days earlier-2.12%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Costco Wholesale (COST)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro.” Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • XLP Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro.” Reason on file: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • VGK Vanguard Intl Equity Index F

    Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro.” Reason on file: Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“euro”)

  • FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust

    In “EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro,” Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust follows the euro, whose moves this story covers

  • BWX Spdr Series Trust

    For “EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro,” Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Europe

  • EFA Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (EFA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Europe

  • WMT Walmart

    In “EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

Costco Wholesale (COST)

The 10 Nov 2026 story “EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro” names Costco Wholesale (COST) because of this story.

The link for Costco Wholesale (COST) is this: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

Also listed, Ishares Tr (TIP): iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

The price range for Costco Wholesale (COST), and the dates in the story

COST traded between 953.78 and 1081.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 1066.10. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. XLP traded between 80.10 and 82.50 across 6 sessions. The latest close on file is 81.02.

What the saved facts support for Costco Wholesale (COST)

54 out of 100Price not final

“EUR/USD Analysis: U.S. Inflation Data Keeps Pressure on the Euro” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.