Geopolitics Alpha

Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound

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Covered by 4 outlets: WHTC, StreetInsider, Reuters, TradingView.

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Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound

Nov 3 (Reuters) - Europe's benchmark equities index was set to fall at the open on Tuesday after reports that the United States carried out ​strikes on Iran sent crude prices higher, ‌dampening hopes for an imminent end to the months-long conflict. Fut...

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“europe”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.6% 15d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum-1.2% 19d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET-1.54%+2.86%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITA-3.96%-0.11%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VGK-1.15%+0.07%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVXPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close
OXYPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

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Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound WHTC

Source: WHTC

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 3 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+2.86%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-1.54%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-0.11%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-3.96%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)three days earlier+0.07%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)five days earlier-1.15%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who collects and who pays in energy

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story

  • VGK Vanguard Intl Equity Index F

    Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound.” Reason on file: Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“europe”)

  • SHEL Shell

    Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound.” Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas, with business in Europe): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BP Bp

    Bp (BP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound.” Reason on file: BP p.l.c (petroleum refining, with business in Europe): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 3 Nov 2026, “Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

69 out of 100

“Europe stocks set to fall as US-Iran tensions fuel oil rebound” scores 69 out of 100. The score uses 4 sources, and 8 linked companies.