Fed could hike rates by 50 basis points as oil surges, says market expert
Published . Updated .
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This report is about oil and US interest rates. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.2% 19d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+3.3% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+4.8% 30d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +4.74% | +0.82% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -2.64% | -2.21% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TLT | +1.21% | +1.27% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | -1.72% | -0.42% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | -1.69% | -0.16% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | -0.81% | -1.14% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -0.13% | -1.13% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COP | -1.64% | -2.34% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Fed could hike rates by 50 basis points as oil surges, says market expert Reuters
Source: Reuters
Energy
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | three days earlier | -0.16% | final price |
| BAC | five days earlier | -1.69% | final price |
| COP | three days earlier | -2.34% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -1.64% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -1.13% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -0.13% | final price |
| JPM | three days earlier | -0.42% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | -1.72% | final price |
| TLT | three days earlier | +1.27% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | +1.21% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | +0.82% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | +4.74% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -2.21% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.64% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -1.14% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -0.81% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 27 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 8 Oct 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 20 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100
“Fed could hike rates by 50 basis points as oil surges, says market expert” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.