Geopolitics Alpha

Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • That first line is the one that matters.
  • Exposed: TLT, IEF, TIP, WMT, JPM
  • Market reaction: TLT −1.5% on the day; IEF −0.7% on the day; COST +0.5% on the day

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Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target

That first line is the one that matters. Stimulus is a demand word. For two years the Fed’s framing on AI was about supply: productivity, capacity, a disinflationary tailwind somewhere down the road. Goolsbee is now describing it the way you’d describe a fiscal package.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF+0.2% 17d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF+0.1% 17d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF+0.7% 17d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • QQQ Invesco QQQ-9.8% 30d

    Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase-1.4% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-12.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DHI D.R. Horton+4.2% 30d

    D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • SCHW The Charles Schwab

    The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT+1.21%+1.27%base-1.49%after closeafter closeafter close
IEF+1.16%+0.95%base-0.70%after closeafter closeafter close
TIP+0.93%+0.72%base-0.46%after closeafter closeafter close
QQQ-6.13%-1.68%base-0.32%after closeafter closeafter close
JPM-1.72%-0.42%base-0.17%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC-1.69%-0.16%base-0.24%after closeafter closeafter close
DHI+6.90%+5.54%base-2.07%after closeafter closeafter close
SCHW-0.19%-0.05%base-1.12%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target investingLive

Source: investingLive

Ishares Tr (TLT) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)that day-0.24%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier-0.16%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier-1.69%final price
DHIthat day-2.07%final price
DHIthree days earlier+5.54%final price
DHIfive days earlier+6.90%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)that day-0.70%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier+0.95%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier+1.16%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)that day-0.17%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier-0.42%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier-1.72%final price
QQQthat day-0.32%final price
QQQthree days earlier-1.68%final price
QQQfive days earlier-6.13%final price
SCHWthat day-1.12%final price
SCHWthree days earlier-0.05%final price
SCHWfive days earlier-0.19%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)that day-0.46%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.72%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.93%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day-1.49%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier+1.27%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier+1.21%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    In “Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target.” Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    For “Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    For “Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    For “Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    In “Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • PG Procter & Gamble

    In “Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target,” Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

How “Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target” reaches Ishares Tr (TLT)

Ishares Tr (TLT) is the company in “Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target,” the 12 Nov 2026 this story story.

Ishares Tr (TLT) is on the page because iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

Also listed, Ishares Tr (IEF): iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

The price range for Ishares Tr (TLT), and the dates in the story

IEF traded between 88.64 and 90.69 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.

What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (TLT)

46 out of 100

“Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been well-above target” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.